Commentary
Is complexity just too complex?

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Context and causation

Realism subscribes to a model of generative (as opposed to successionist) causation. Outcomes do not happen because of a succession of events or interventions but are caused by mechanisms. A mechanism may be usefully defined as: “… underlying entities, processes, or [social] structures which operate in particular contexts to generate outcomes of interest.” Mechanisms are real but hidden (and so have to be inferred) and context sensitive [12]. Realism provides a clear and coherent way of

Generalizability/transferability of findings

That outcomes in complex interventions are context sensitive is problematic. How can researchers make claims that a finding is transferable if the context is not exactly the same? Taking a realist ontological stance provides researchers with a coherent and plausible rationale for extrapolation of findings. For realists, the extrapolations from the specific to the general may be justified if there is a reason to believe that the same mechanisms are in operation from one context to another. In

Complexity

Finally, realism provides an explanation for complexity. The outcome patterns that we can observe in an intervention or a program in one set of contexts and not another are because of the differing contexts “triggering” a range of different mechanisms and the interactions between mechanisms (to cancel out, reinforce, or have no effect on each other). Put another way, for any one outcome (O), there are lots of Cs and Ms, and it is the interactions within and between these that creates

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    Another more serious concern is complexity. Complexity is not the same thing as merely complicated.7 PWM is certainly complicated: it consists of several different components (eg, nutrition, exercise, and behavior change), the components may be put into practice in different ways (eg, aerobics vs weight training, Cognitive Behavioral Therapy vs motivational interviewing for behavior change, or a stoplight diet vs a strict calorie-restricted diet plan) and these components can be combined in different configurations.

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    To address the lack of contextual information in studies of interventions, other synthesis methods have evolved. A recent series in the Journal of Clinical Epidemiology has described other types of knowledge synthesis that can be used to evaluate complex interventions [5–14]. In one article in that previous series, the authors discussed the importance of synthesis methods for integrating qualitative and quantitative methods, such as realist synthesis [5].

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Conflicts of interest: None.

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