Elsevier

Evaluation and Program Planning

Volume 45, August 2014, Pages 119-126
Evaluation and Program Planning

Applying complexity theory: A review to inform evaluation design

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2014.04.002Get rights and content

Highlights

  • Reviews use and discussion of complexity theory in evaluation.

  • Identifies eight themes related to application of complexity theory for evaluation.

  • Themes can be used to guide evaluation design discussion.

Abstract

Complexity theory has increasingly been discussed and applied within evaluation literature over the past decade. This article reviews the discussion and use of complexity theory within academic journal literature. The aim is to identify the issues to be considered when applying complexity theory to evaluation. Reviewing 46 articles, two groups of themes are identified. The first group considers implications of applying complexity theory concepts for defining evaluation purpose, scope and units of analysis. The second group of themes consider methodology and method. Results provide a starting point for a configuration of an evaluation approach consistent with complexity theory, whilst also identifying a number of design considerations to be resolved within evaluation planning.

Section snippets

Methods

This study provides a narrative thematic review of identified academic journal literature (Dixon-Woods et al., 2005, Mays et al., 2005) related to complexity theory and evaluation. This review draws upon 46 articles in peer-reviewed journals identified from a search of bibliographic databases (including Scopus, Web of Knowledge, Social Service Abstracts, Sociological abstracts), limited to English language. Search terms were: complexity theory or complex adaptive system or CAS or soft system or

Results

The following themes were identified from the reviewed literature and are discussed in detail below:

  • Developing an understanding of system.

  • Attractors, emergence and other complexity concerns.

  • Defining appropriate level and unit of analysis.

  • Timing of evaluations.

  • Participatory methods.

  • Case study and comparison designs.

  • Multiple and mixed methods.

  • Layering theory to guide evaluation.

Conclusion

This paper has sought to identify a range of implications of a complexity frame of reference for policy and programme evaluation. Though restricted to a small number of papers in the academic literature, some common themes have been identified. The themes can be broken into two groups. The first group identifies implications of applying complexity theory for defining the purpose, scope and relevant units of analysis for evaluation activity. The second group of themes consider method

Acknowledgements

This project is supported by the Marsden Fund Council from Government funding, administered by the Royal Society of New Zealand (MAU1107).

Mat Walton is a lecturer in the School of Health and Social Services, Massey University, New Zealand. His research focuses on public health policy design and evaluation, the application of complexity theory and policy interaction.

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    Mat Walton is a lecturer in the School of Health and Social Services, Massey University, New Zealand. His research focuses on public health policy design and evaluation, the application of complexity theory and policy interaction.

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