Table 5

Results of the regression of the share of government spending on PHC (2019 or latest figure)

Outcome: Government spending on PHC as a share of total government health spending
PredictorsEffect size95% CIP valueEffect size95% CIP value
Government health spending as % of government spending in 2018†−0.59(−1.77 to 0.59)0.32−0.28(−1.41 to 0.84)0.62
Ln(GDP) per capita in 2018)1.86(−4.70 to 8.41)0.572.84(−4.62 to 10.31)0.45
Tax revenue including social contribution as % of GDP (2018)†0.02(−0.54 to 0.58)0.940.25(−0.42 to 0.92)0.46
% of working age population (15–65 years)†0.12(−0.48 to 0.72)0.70.34(−0.47 to 1.15)0.4
% of >65 years†−0.09(−1.20 to 1.01)0.87−0.71(−2.01 to 0.58)0.28
% of urban population†−0.07(−0.29 to 0.14)0.51−0.16(−0.40,0.09)0.2
Gini (latest figure)0.03(−0.17 to 0.23)0.76−0.21(−0.71 to 0.28)0.4
Ethnic Fractionalisation Index (0–100)0.04(−0.12 to 0.20)0.59
Population density (population per square kilometre area)0(−0.03 to 0.03)0.91
Gender Inequality Index (0–100)0.08(−0.45 to 0.61)0.75
Social Capital Index (0–100)−0.37+(−0.82 to 0.07)0.1
Control of corruption8.47*(0.94 to 16.01)0.037.09(−5.79 to 19.97)0.28
Rule of law−12.07*(-22.70 to 1.43)0.03−6.02(−24.21 to 12.18)0.51
Regulatory quality−7.31(−18.45 to 3.83)0.2−10.75(−25.26 to 3.75)0.14
Government effectiveness5.81(−6.96 to 18.59)0.378.28(−7.64 to 24.20)0.3
Political stability and absence of violence/terrorism−1.19(−6.31 to 3.92)0.64−1.3(−7.74 to 5.15)0.69
Voice and accountability7.37*(1.50 to 13.24)0.0110.7(−8.97 to 30.37)0.28
POLITY regime measure−0.01(−1.40 to 1.39)0.99
Government Closeness/Decentralisation Index0.43(−0.35 to 1.22)0.27
Liberal Democracy Index−0.13(−0.64 to 0.37)0.6
Constant21.33(−24.67 to 67.33)0.3629.97(−64.52 to 124.46)0.53
Number of observations10284
R-squared0.1650.206
  • *p<0.05, +p<0.1

  • †All variables in percentages are coded in 0 to 100 number formats to ease their interpretation.

  • PHC, primary healthcare.