AMI incidence per 1 000 000 population | Overall | ≥65 years | <65 years | Male | Female |
Underlying trend | |||||
β (95% CIs) | 0.9 (0.7 to 1.1) | 5.1 (3.3 to 7.0) | 0.6 (0.4 to 0.8) | 1.9 (1.5 to 2.4) | 1.0 (0.6 to 1.3) |
P value | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
2013 step-change | |||||
β (95% CIs) | −3.7 (−11.8 to 4.4) | −14.6 (−78.9 to 49.7) | −4.2 (−9.3 to 0.8) | −14.5 (−28.0 to –1.0) | 4.9 (−5.3 to 15.1) |
P value | 0.368 | 0.655 | 0.099 | 0.035 | 0.343 |
Post 2013-trend | |||||
β (95% CIs) | −0.6 (−1.0 to –0.29) | −5.9 (−8.7 to –3.1) | −0.4 (−0.6 to –0.2) | −1.1 (−1.7 to –0.5) | −0.9 (−1.4 to –0.4) |
P value | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
2016 step-change | |||||
β (95% CIs) | 14.2 (3.3 to 25.0) | 114.4 (36.2 to 192.5) | 6.4 (−2.8 to 15.5) | 28.6 (13.1 to 44.0) | 17.3 (−11.1 to 45.6) |
P value | 0.011 | 0.004 | 0.175 | <0.001 | 0.233 |
Post-2016 trend | |||||
β (95% CIs) | 0.2 (−1.0 to 1.3) | 3.1 (−6.8 to 13.0) | −0.3 (−1.3 to 0.6) | −0.1 (−1.7 to 1.4) | 0.19 (−2.2 to 2.6) |
P value | 0.788 | 0.537 | 0.497 | 0.852 | 0.875 |
2017 step-change | |||||
β (95% CIs) | −7.2 (−18.2 to 3.7) | −71.4 (−198.6 to 55.8) | −0.8 (−10.1 to 8.5) | −8.0 (−26.4 to 10.4) | −12.5 (−30.1 to 5.2) |
P value | 0.195 | 0.272 | 0.868 | 0.392 | 0.166 |
Post-2017 trend | |||||
β (95% CIs) | 0.5 (−0.7 to 1.7) | 1.0 (−9.7 to 11.8) | 0.4 (−0.6 to 1.4) | 0.4 (−1.2 to 2.0) | 0.9 (−1.4 to 3.3) |
P value | 0.458 | 0.853 | 0.392 | 0.623 | 0.437 |
AIC | 845.9 | 1368.4 | 776.2 | 1005.5 | 934.7 |
BIC | 882.2 | 1401.8 | 812.4 | 1041.8 | 971.0 |