Table 3

Crude and adjusted hazard ratios for mortality in 342 Aboriginal RHD surgical patients

Preoperative characteristicsUnivariate analysisMultivariate analysis
Hazard ratio (95% CI)P valueHazard ratio (95% CI)P value
Age at first surgery≥16 years2.9 (1.3 to 6.3)0.0062.0 (0.8 to 4.7)0.1
Female*1.1 (0.7 to 1.6)0.81.1 (0.7 to 1.8)0.7
Severe pulmonary hypertension†2.3 (1.5 to 3.7)<0.0011.9 (1.2 to 3.1)0.007
NYHA class 3 and 41.7 (1.1 to 2.7)0.021.0 (0.6 to 1.9)0.9
Atrial fibrillation or flutter1.1 (0.7 to 1.8)0.63
Moderate or greater LV dysfunction2.4 (0.8 to 7.7)0.13
Diabetes mellitus2.3 (1.4 to 4.0)0.0021.0 (0.4 to 2.4)0.9
Smoking history‡1.8 (1.1 to 2.9)0.0121.1 (0.6 to 2.1)0.8
Hypercholesterolaemia1.7 (1.0 to 3.0)0.0451.4 (0.8 to 2.7)0.2
Hypertension1.7 (1.1 to 2.7)0.020.9 (0.5 to 1.9)0.9
Severity of coronary artery disease§5.0 (2.3 to 10.9)<0.0013.3 (1.3 to 8.4)0.012
Previous myocardial infarction1.4 (0.6 to 3.5)0.47
Transient ischaemic attack1.7 (0.4 to 7.2)0.43
Embolic stroke1.3 (0.4 to 4.2)0.64
Haemorrhagic stroke
Bronchiectasis2.4 (1.0 to 5.4)0.041.9 (0.8 to 4.6)0.1
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease2.4 (1.4 to 4.2)0.0021.0 (0.4 to 2.3)0.9
Obstructive sleep apnoea2.4 (0.6 to 9.7)0.23
Chronic kidney disease¶8.3 (4.1 to 16.8)<0.0016.5 (3.0 to 14.0)<0.001
  • *Binary (defined by health workers).

  • †Pulmonary hypertension≥50 mmHg (at cardiac catheterisation or estimated at echocardiography).

  • ‡Current or previous tobacco smoker.

  • §Moderate to severe and severe stenosis on coronary angiogram prefirst surgery.

  • ¶Estimated glomerular filtration rate<60 mL/min/1.73 m2.

  • LV, left ventricle; NYHA, New York Heart Assessment; RHD, rheumatic heart disease.