Logistic regression analyses explaining asbestos ban in 198 countries*
Parameter estimate | OR | 95% CI | P value | |
One variate model | ||||
Mesothelioma identification | 2.59 | 13.33 | 5.35 to 33.23 | <0.0001 |
Global Burden of Disease Study-estimated mortality rate (MR) of mesothelioma during: | ||||
All years before (year of ban or 2019) | 0.20 | 1.22 | 1.11 to 1.35 | <0.0001 |
1–5 years before (year of ban or 2019) | 0.22 | 1.25 | 1.13 to 1.39 | <0.0001 |
6–10 years before (year of ban or 2019) | 0.19 | 1.21 | 1.09 to 1.34 | 0.0003 |
>10 years before (year of ban or 2019) | 0.15 | 1.16 | 1.04 to 1.29 | 0.0057 |
Two variate model | ||||
I. Mesothelioma identification and MR of mesothelioma during† ‡ | Model p<0.0001 | |||
Mesothelioma identification | 2.60 | 13.53 | 5.151 to 35.52 | <0.0001 |
All years before (year of ban or 2019) | 0.20 | 1.22 | 1.10 to 1.37 | 0.0004 |
II. Mesothelioma identification and MR of mesothelioma during†‡ | Model p<0.0001 | |||
Mesothelioma identification | 2.65 | 14.13 | 5.27 to 37.86 | <0.0001 |
1–5 years before (year of ban 2019) | 0.23 | 1.26 | 1.12 to 1.42 | 0.0001 |
See Methods for full definition of asbestos ban and mesothelioma identification.
*Six ‘early-banned’ countries that banned asbestos in or before 1990, that is, Austria, Denmark, Iceland, Norway, Sweden and Switzerland, are precluded from this analysis and are analysed separately in table 4. See Methods for full explanation.
†) Period before the year of ban in asbestos-banned countries and period before 2019 in not-banned countries.
‡) Variance inflation factor (VIF) was used to assess collinearity between explanatory variable; VIF were 1.026 for mesothelioma identification and 1.025 for mesothelioma MR during 1–5 years before year of ban or 2019.