Table 2

Expected number of 2020 notifications for all forms of tuberculosis in Mozambique using multilevel model and absolute differences between the observed and expected counts

Region/province	Model expected					Absolute differences					% loss from expected
Region/province	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total	%	95% CI
North	5798	5874	5955	6042	23 668	55	−1018	−563	−738	−2263	−9.6	−17.8 to −1.1
Niassa	1292	1341	1391	1445	5469	99	−283	−175	−318	−677	−12.4	−21.3 to −2.1
Cabo Delgado	1312	1351	1393	1436	5493	104	−380	−151	−176	−604	−11.0	−19.8 to −1.1
Nampula	3194	3182	3171	3161	12 707	−148	−355	−237	−244	−983	−7.7	−15.5 to −0.6
Central	11 487	11 616	11 755	11 904	46 763	−272	−120	1570	1083	2260	4.8	−4.2 to 13.8
Zambézia	4796	4835	4875	4917	19 423	−455	−78	1337	739	1543	7.9	0.5 to 15.6
Tete	2040	2088	2140	2195	8463	41	283	305	66	695	8.2	−1.5 to 18.4
Manica	2302	2372	2445	2521	9640	68	−590	32	−159	−649	−6.7	−16.0 to 3.2
Sofala	2350	2321	2295	2271	9237	73	265	−104	437	671	7.3	−4.1 to 16.9
South	10 334	10 587	10 850	11 126	42 898	−2459	−4956	−5250	−4478	−17 144	−40.0	−49.0 to −30.1
Inhambane	1686	1709	1734	1759	6888	49	−505	−330	53	−733	−10.6	−19.6 to −1.2
Gaza	2150	2171	2194	2218	8733	101	−348	−403	−318	−968	−11.1	−21.0 to 1.2
Maputo Provincia	6499	6706	6923	7149	27 277	−2610	−4102	−4518	−4213	−15 443	−56.6	−65.3 to −46.7
Total	27 619	28 076	28 561	29 073	113 329	−2676	−6093	−4244	−4134	−17 147	−15.1	−24.0 to −5.9

Maputo City and Maputo Province data were merged and presented as Maputo Provincia.
Q, quarter.