Table 2

Determinants of vaccination coverage at the population level in Ifanadiana district, 2014–2018 (Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM), multivariate results*)

VariableBCG immunisationPolio immunisation (third dose)DTP immunisation (third dose)Measles immunisationAll recommended vaccines
Immunisation coverage at baseline (intercept)0.8 (0.73 to 0.86)0.77 (0.71 to 0.83)0.71 (0.62 to 0.78)0.68 (0.61 to 0.75)0.47 (0.38 to 0.56)
District-wide differences
 Baseline differences in HSS catchment vs control0.6 (0.39 to 0.92)1.65 (1.12 to 2.44)
 Socioeconomic class (log of wealth score)2.18 (1.51 to 3.15)2.85 (1.92 to 4.23)2.58 (1.75 to 3.8)2.3 (1.6 to 3.32)2.68 (1.84 to 3.91)
 Distance to health centre (every 10 km)0.22 (0.12 to 0.4)0.3 (0.17 to 0.51)0.31 (0.18 to 0.53)0.53 (0.33 to 0.85)0.35 (0.19 to 0.62)
Changes in the district
 Annual change
  Annual changexsocioeconomic class
  Annual changexdistance to health centre1.31 (1.21 to 1.41)1.31 (1.21 to 1.41)1.23 (1.14 to 1.33)1.17 (1.08 to 1.27)
Changes in the HSS catchment
 Change per year of HSS1.43 (1.22 to 1.66)1.19 (1.04 to 1.36)1.18 (1.04 to 1.34)1.22 (1.08 to 1.38)
  Change per year of HSS×socioeconomic class0.75 (0.6 to 0.95)0.83 (0.67 to 1.03)0.78 (0.63 to 0.97)0.73 (0.59 to 0.9)
  Change per year of HSS×distance to health centre0.81 (0.65 to 1)0.72 (0.58 to 0.9)0.84 (0.73 to 0.96)0.76 (0.62 to 0.91)0.81 (0.66 to 1)
  • *Results are expressed as probabilities for the intercept and as OR with associated 95% CIs for all other variables. A sign ‘-’ means that the variable was not part of the final reduced model for lack of statistical association.

  • DTP, diphtheria, tetanus and pertussis; HSS, health system strengthening.