Baseline projections, years 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060 (in 2019 US$)
Direct medical costs (US$ billions) | Direct non-medical costs (US$ billions) | Total direct costs (US$ billions) | Absenteeism costs (US$ billions) | Presenteeism costs (US$ billions) | Premature mortality costs (US$ billions) | Total indirect costs (US$ billions) | Total costs (US$ billions) | Total costs per capita (US$) | Total costs as a per cent of GDP | |
Australia | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
2020 | 12.05 | 0.45 | 12.50 | 1.60 | 0.94 | 9.61 | 12.16 | 24.66 | 967 | 1.77 |
2030 | 16.03 | 0.58 | 16.61 | 2.03 | 1.19 | 14.76 | 17.98 | 34.59 | 1228 | 1.91 |
2040 | 21.24 | 0.74 | 21.97 | 2.57 | 1.50 | 23.32 | 27.39 | 49.37 | 1615 | 2.08 |
2050 | 27.28 | 0.91 | 28.19 | 3.11 | 1.82 | 37.65 | 42.57 | 70.77 | 2157 | 2.26 |
2060 | 34.51 | 1.10 | 35.61 | 3.64 | 2.13 | 61.92 | 67.69 | 103.30 | 2956 | 2.50 |
Brazil | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
2020 | 14.97 | 1.88 | 16.85 | 2.26 | 2.82 | 18.91 | 23.98 | 40.83 | 192 | 2.12 |
2030 | 18.73 | 2.30 | 21.03 | 2.65 | 3.30 | 32.18 | 38.13 | 59.15 | 264 | 2.37 |
2040 | 22.32 | 2.74 | 25.07 | 2.93 | 3.65 | 52.62 | 59.20 | 84.26 | 368 | 2.81 |
2050 | 25.21 | 3.17 | 28.38 | 3.00 | 3.75 | 86.77 | 93.52 | 121.90 | 532 | 3.48 |
2060 | 28.15 | 3.74 | 31.89 | 3.01 | 3.76 | 142.40 | 149.17 | 181.07 | 807 | 4.54 |
India | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
2020 | 5.66 | 1.12 | 6.77 | 1.36 | 1.85 | 15.60 | 18.82 | 25.59 | 19 | 0.82 |
2030 | 10.24 | 1.96 | 12.19 | 2.29 | 3.13 | 37.02 | 42.44 | 54.64 | 36 | 0.97 |
2040 | 17.54 | 3.18 | 20.72 | 3.56 | 4.86 | 80.38 | 88.80 | 109.52 | 69 | 1.24 |
2050 | 28.21 | 4.71 | 32.92 | 5.13 | 7.01 | 172.39 | 184.53 | 217.45 | 133 | 1.70 |
2060 | 45.10 | 6.44 | 51.54 | 6.93 | 9.48 | 411.08 | 427.48 | 479.02 | 290 | 2.75 |
Mexico | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
2020 | 6.40 | 1.57 | 7.98 | 1.72 | 2.44 | 15.01 | 19.16 | 27.14 | 210 | 2.09 |
2030 | 8.56 | 1.94 | 10.50 | 2.11 | 3.00 | 25.06 | 30.18 | 40.67 | 289 | 2.40 |
2040 | 10.81 | 2.27 | 13.08 | 2.44 | 3.47 | 44.24 | 50.14 | 63.22 | 422 | 2.85 |
2050 | 13.01 | 2.61 | 15.62 | 2.70 | 3.83 | 77.33 | 83.86 | 99.48 | 641 | 3.55 |
2060 | 15.48 | 2.89 | 18.37 | 2.82 | 4.01 | 134.78 | 141.62 | 159.99 | 1018 | 4.67 |
Saudi Arabia | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
2020 | 5.05 | 0.22 | 5.26 | 0.74 | 4.67 | 9.01 | 14.43 | 19.69 | 566 | 2.42 |
2030 | 6.51 | 0.27 | 6.78 | 0.90 | 5.67 | 9.77 | 16.35 | 23.13 | 588 | 2.35 |
2040 | 7.93 | 0.31 | 8.24 | 0.97 | 6.05 | 15.13 | 22.14 | 30.38 | 715 | 2.51 |
2050 | 9.20 | 0.35 | 9.55 | 1.01 | 6.31 | 28.95 | 36.27 | 45.82 | 1028 | 3.01 |
2060 | 10.25 | 0.40 | 10.65 | 1.03 | 6.43 | 59.99 | 67.44 | 78.09 | 1722 | 4.16 |
South Africa | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
2020 | 2.46 | 0.16 | 2.62 | 0.04 | 0.21 | 2.96 | 3.21 | 5.83 | 98 | 1.60 |
2030 | 3.45 | 0.28 | 3.73 | 0.07 | 0.34 | 4.34 | 4.76 | 8.49 | 129 | 1.76 |
2040 | 4.55 | 0.43 | 4.98 | 0.10 | 0.52 | 6.78 | 7.40 | 12.38 | 173 | 1.95 |
2050 | 5.79 | 0.61 | 6.40 | 0.14 | 0.73 | 11.06 | 11.93 | 18.33 | 243 | 2.22 |
2060 | 7.21 | 0.89 | 8.09 | 0.19 | 0.97 | 18.26 | 19.42 | 27.52 | 352 | 2.60 |
Spain | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
2020 | 11.36 | 0.29 | 11.65 | 1.85 | 6.07 | 10.16 | 18.08 | 29.73 | 636 | 2.11 |
2030 | 13.06 | 0.29 | 13.35 | 1.89 | 6.21 | 13.20 | 21.30 | 34.65 | 750 | 2.17 |
2040 | 14.20 | 0.28 | 14.48 | 1.79 | 5.85 | 17.56 | 25.20 | 39.68 | 877 | 2.20 |
2050 | 15.02 | 0.27 | 15.30 | 1.71 | 5.60 | 24.43 | 31.73 | 47.03 | 1078 | 2.28 |
2060 | 15.84 | 0.30 | 16.14 | 1.84 | 6.02 | 37.29 | 45.14 | 61.28 | 1493 | 2.43 |
Thailand | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
2020 | 1.44 | 0.33 | 1.77 | 0.42 | 0.55 | 4.53 | 5.49 | 7.27 | 104 | 1.30 |
2030 | 2.13 | 0.43 | 2.56 | 0.53 | 0.70 | 8.74 | 9.98 | 12.54 | 178 | 1.65 |
2040 | 3.00 | 0.52 | 3.52 | 0.63 | 0.82 | 18.13 | 19.58 | 23.10 | 335 | 2.23 |
2050 | 3.98 | 0.59 | 4.58 | 0.72 | 0.93 | 39.16 | 40.81 | 45.38 | 688 | 3.22 |
2060 | 5.09 | 0.66 | 5.75 | 0.79 | 1.03 | 85.89 | 87.71 | 93.47 | 1515 | 4.88 |
GDP, gross domestic product.