Table 3

Transmissibility parameters

ParameterDescriptionValueDistributionReference
τMaximum transmissibility0.14 (95% CI 0.05 to 0.40)LognormalDerived
Embedded ImagePresymptomatic transmissibility of individuals becoming symptomatic relative toτReference stage (=1)18 46
Embedded ImageMean presymptomatic transmissibility relative toτ0.93 (95% CI 0.88 to 0.99)EmpiricalDerived
Embedded ImageAsymptomatic transmissibility relative toτ0.14 (95% CI 0.05 to 0.40)LognormalDerived
Embedded ImageClinical symptomatic transmissibility relative toτ0.24 (95% CI 0.11 to 0.60)LognormalDerived
Embedded ImageHospitalised transmissibility relative toτ0.11 (95% CI 0.05 to 0.29)LognormalDerived
  • See online supplemental materials for details.