Table 2

Correlation between the standardised mortality rates for COVID-19 in the European Union/European Economic Area countries plus the UK and Switzerland and selected indicators

VariableFirst wave
Spearman’s rho correlation (95% CI)
P valueSubsequent waves Spearman’s rho correlation (95% CI)P valueP value of the difference between first and subsequent waves
HDI0.41 (0.14 to 0.68)0.02−0.67 (−0.87 to −0.46)<0.00010.000003
Life expectancy at birth0.46 (0.14 to 0.77)0.01−0.56 (−0.79 to −0.33)0.0010.00002
Poverty and social exclusion0.04 (−0.32 to 0.41)0.820.25 (−0.15 to 0.66)0.170.42
HLY0.36 (−0.02 to 0.73)0.05−0.20 (−0.54 to 0.13)0.270.03
Density0.33 (−0.03 to 0.68)0.070.17 (−0.24 to 0.57)0.370.52
Urbanisation0.30 (−0.06 to 0.67)0.10−0.51 (−0.77 to −0.24)0.0040.0011
Hospital beds*−0.28 (−0.62 to 0.06)0.13
ICU beds*−0.16 (−0.48 to 0.15)0.38
Healthcare expenditure0.49 (0.22 to 0.76)0.005−0.47 (−0.70 to −0.24)0.0080.00009
Stringency Index0.40 (0.09 to 0.70)0.03−0.03 (−0.40 to 0.33)0.850.09
Mobility retail and recreation−0.51 (−0.86 to −0.15)0.005−0.31 (−0.68 to 0.06)0.100.38
Mobility transit−0.66 (−0.90 to −0.43)0.00010.50 (0.17 to 0.83)0.0060.000001
Mobility outdoor−0.40 (−0.72 to −0.07)0.03−0.37 (−0.72 to −0.03)0.050.90
Total tests per 10000.16 (−0.22 to 0.54)0.42−0.24(−0.63 to 0.16)0.220.15
New tests per 10000.24 (−0.16 to 0.64)0.22−0.25 (−0.69 to 0.20)0.220.94
Tourism0.52 (0.21 to 0.83)0.0040.07 (−0.29 to 0.44)0.710.07
  • Bold values denote statistical significance at the p 0.005 level.

  • *Data were not available for the subsequent waves.

  • HDI, Human Development Index; HLY, healthy life years; ICU, intensive care units.