Table 1

Parameter estimates of the overall effect of COVID-19 on rates of total outpatient visits, visits for common infectious diseases and non-communicable diseases and maternal and child health services in Kinshasa, DRC

IndicatorsLevel changeTrend change
IRR (95% CI)P valueIRR (95% CI)P value
Overall visits and by sex, age and facility tier
 Total outpatient visits0.75 (0.73 to 0.75)<0.0011.01 (1.00 to 1.02)<0.001
  Female0.76 (0.73 to 0.79)<0.0011.01 (1.00 to 1.02)<0.001
  Male0.74 (0.71 to 0.77)<0.0011.01 (1.00 to 1.01)<0.001
  Under 5 years0.75 (0.73 to 0.77)<0.0011.00 (1.00 to 1.01)0.01
  5 years and over0.75 (0.73 to 0.77)<0.0011.01 (1.00 to 1.02)<0.001
  Health centres0.86 (0.84 to 0.89)<0.0011.01 (1.00 to 1.01)<0.001
  Hospitals0.57 (0.53 to 0.62)<0.0011.02 (1.00 to 1.03)0.009
  COVID-19 hospitals0.48 (0.31 to 0.74)<0.0011.03 (0.97 to 1.11)0.27
  Non-COVID-19 hospitals0.58 (0.53 to 0.63)<0.0011.01 (1.00 to 1.02)0.02
Common IDs
 Malaria case diagnoses0.76 (0.73 to 0.79)<0.0011.01 (1.00 to 1.02)0.001
 RDT for malaria done0.70 (0.67 to 0.73)<0.0011.01 (1.01 to 1.02)<0.001
 Diarrhoea case diagnoses0.74 (0.70 to 0.78)<0.0011.01 (1.00 to 1.02)<0.001
 Pneumonia case diagnoses0.70 (0.65 to 0.74)<0.0011.03 (1.02 to 1.04)<0.001
NCDs
 Diabetes new case diagnoses0.61 (0.55 to 0.66)<0.0011.03 (1.01 to 1.04)<0.001
 Hypertension new case diagnoses0.84 (0.79 to 0.89)<0.0011.00 (0.99 to 1.02)0.15
Maternal health
 ANC1 visits1.04 (1.01 to 1.07)0.0070.99 (0.99 to 1.00)0.71
 Facility-based childbirth1.08 (1.05 to 1.11)<0.0011.00 (0.99 to 1.01)0.32
 PNC2 visits1.07 (1.03 to 1.11)<0.0011.00 (0.99 to 1.01)0.16
Vaccinations
 DTP1 vaccine administered1.01 (0.98 to 1.04)0.401.00 (0.99 to 1.01)0.26
 BCG vaccine administered0.95 (0.90 to 1.01)0.081.01 (1.00 to 1.02)0.001
 OPV1 administered1.04 (1.01 to 1.08)0.0041.00 (1.00 to 1.01)0.005
 PCV-13 administered1.00 (0.97 to 1.04)0.601.00 (0.99 to 1.01)0.47
  • Parameter estimates are from mixed effects segmented regression models comparing the period before COVID-19 (January 2018 to February 2020) and after the onset of COVID-19 (April to December 2020) in DRC.

  • ANC1, first antenatal care; DRC, Democratic Republic of the Congo; DTP, diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis; ID, infectious disease; IRR, incidence rate ratio; NCD, non-communicable disease; OPV, oral poliovirus vaccine; PCV, pneumococcal conjugate vaccine; PNC2, second postnatal care; RDT, rapid diagnostic test.