Table 2

Scenario-based CMFB projections for period 2021–2100, by country

Country
(Region)
Inflation probability
(in %)
Inflation start yearInflation end yearScenario S1 (2021–2100)Scenario S2 (2021–2100)
CMFB
(in, 000)
Proportion of total CMFB (in %)CMFB
(in, 000)
Proportion of total CMFB (in %)
India100197520342,50343.82,50312.2
(Southern Asia)(1970; 1981)(2020; 2054)(0; 8,049)(0.0; 93.1)(0; 8,049)(0.0; 31.6)
Albania100199320261010
(ENAN)(1973; 1996)(2018; 2043)(0; 3)(0.0; 0.1)(0; 3)(0.0; 0.0)
Montenegro99.9198120290000
(ENAN)(1972; 1995)(2018; 2047)(0; 1)(0.0; 0.0)(0; 1)(0.0; 0.0)
Tunisia1001982202530.130
(Northern Africa)(1976; 1988)(2014; 2043)(0; 18)(0.0; 0.6)(0; 18)(0.0; 0.1)
Armenia100199220282020
(Caucasus and central Asia)(1990; 1993)(2023; 2039)(0; 8)(0.0; 0.3)(0; 8)(0.0; 0.0)
Azerbaijan10019912037320.6320.2
(Caucasus and central Asia)(1987; 1995)(2027; 2052)(9; 74)(0.1; 3.2)(9; 74)(0.0; 0.4)
Georgia100198220200000
(Caucasus and central Asia)(1971; 1993)(2008; 2037)(0; 3)(0.0; 0.1)(0; 3)(0.0; 0.0)
Vietnam99.8199920393395.93391.7
(Southeastern Asia)(1990; 2004)(2019; 2063)(0; 1,550)(0.0; 39.6)(0; 1,550)(0.0; 7.0)
China100198220332,83149.52,83113.8
(Eastern Asia)(1972; 1989)(2019; 2052)(0; 10,554)(0.0; 91.2)(0; 10,554)(0.0; 39.0)
Hong Kong, SAR of China100200320130000
(Eastern Asia)(2001; 2005)(2013; 2014)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)
Republic of Korea100198220070000
(Eastern Asia)(1979; 1984)(2004; 2012)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)
Taiwan, Province of China1001982202640.140
(Eastern Asia)(1972; 1986)(2014; 2043)(0; 19)(0.0; 0.5)(0; 19)(0.0; 0.1)
Afghanistan*63.320312071006083
(Southern Asia)(2013; 2059)(2042; 2100+)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(30; 1,868)(0.1; 9.0)
Bangladesh*77.520112049001,2516.1
(Southern Asia)(1992; 2025)(2024; 2077)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(89; 3,809)(0.4; 17.3)
Nepal*81.920072047001700.8
(Southern Asia)(1992; 2026)(2023; 2077)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(4; 593)(0.0; 3.0)
Pakistan*60.920282068002,94014.3
(Southern Asia)(2004; 2056)(2036; 2100+)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(1; 9,770)(0.0; 38.1)
Egypt*59.520272067001,4917.3
(Northern Africa)(2007; 2054)(2038; 2100+)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(41; 4,846)(0.2; 21.8)
Morocco*37.820022042002801.4
(Northern Africa)(1981; 2031)(2012; 2079)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(0; 924)(0.0; 4.3)
Gambia*63.42051209100560.3
(Sub-Saharan Africa)(2026; 2079)(2059; 2100+)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(0; 196)(0.0; 1.0)
Mali*63.620592099005022.4
(Sub-Saharan Africa)(2035; 2087)(2067; 2100+)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(0; 1,958)(0.0; 9.4)
Mauritania*63.52060210000950.5
(Sub-Saharan Africa)(2034; 2088)(2066; 2100+)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(0; 388)(0.0; 2.0)
Nigeria*62.720622100+004,21820.6
(Sub-Saharan Africa)(2036; 2089)(2069; 2100+)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(0; 17,204)(0.0; 52.4)
Senegal*63.220572097003681.8
(Sub-Saharan Africa)(2031; 2084)(2063; 2100+)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(0; 1,420)(0.0; 6.8)
Tanzania*62.720642100+001,4827.2
(Sub-Saharan Africa)(2037; 2091)(2070; 2100+)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(0; 6,357)(0.0; 26.0)
Uganda*63.420402080001,0034.9
(Sub-Saharan Africa)(2019; 2068)(2050; 2100+)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(17; 3,264)(0.1; 15.0)
Jordan*54.62019205900920.5
(Western Asia)(1999; 2048)(2030; 2096)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(3; 306)(0.0; 1.5)
Turkey*49.11990203000450.2
(Western Asia)(1973; 2026)(2004; 2072)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(0; 632)(0.0; 2.7)
Tajikistan*62.120342074001710.8
(Caucasus and central Asia)(2013; 2062)(2044; 2100+)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(2; 559)(0.0; 2.8)
Singapore*75.7197320150000
(Southeastern Asia)(1970; 1992)(1993; 2042)(0; 0)(0.0; 0.0)(0; 1)(0.0; 0.0)
  • *Countries at risk of future SRB inflation. Countries without * are those with past/ongoing SRB inflation. 2100+: years beyond 2100. Countries are presented by region. Median estimates are the numbers before the brackets. Numbers in brackets are 95% uncertainty intervals. Proportions may not sum up to 100% due to rounding.

  • CMFB, cumulative number of missing female births; ENAN, Europe, North America, Australia and New Zealand; SRB, sex ratio at birth.