Scenario-based CMFB projections for period 2021–2100, by country
Country (Region) | Inflation probability (in %) | Inflation start year | Inflation end year | Scenario S1 (2021–2100) | Scenario S2 (2021–2100) | ||
CMFB (in, 000) | Proportion of total CMFB (in %) | CMFB (in, 000) | Proportion of total CMFB (in %) | ||||
India | 100 | 1975 | 2034 | 2,503 | 43.8 | 2,503 | 12.2 |
(Southern Asia) | (1970; 1981) | (2020; 2054) | (0; 8,049) | (0.0; 93.1) | (0; 8,049) | (0.0; 31.6) | |
Albania | 100 | 1993 | 2026 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
(ENAN) | (1973; 1996) | (2018; 2043) | (0; 3) | (0.0; 0.1) | (0; 3) | (0.0; 0.0) | |
Montenegro | 99.9 | 1981 | 2029 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(ENAN) | (1972; 1995) | (2018; 2047) | (0; 1) | (0.0; 0.0) | (0; 1) | (0.0; 0.0) | |
Tunisia | 100 | 1982 | 2025 | 3 | 0.1 | 3 | 0 |
(Northern Africa) | (1976; 1988) | (2014; 2043) | (0; 18) | (0.0; 0.6) | (0; 18) | (0.0; 0.1) | |
Armenia | 100 | 1992 | 2028 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
(Caucasus and central Asia) | (1990; 1993) | (2023; 2039) | (0; 8) | (0.0; 0.3) | (0; 8) | (0.0; 0.0) | |
Azerbaijan | 100 | 1991 | 2037 | 32 | 0.6 | 32 | 0.2 |
(Caucasus and central Asia) | (1987; 1995) | (2027; 2052) | (9; 74) | (0.1; 3.2) | (9; 74) | (0.0; 0.4) | |
Georgia | 100 | 1982 | 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(Caucasus and central Asia) | (1971; 1993) | (2008; 2037) | (0; 3) | (0.0; 0.1) | (0; 3) | (0.0; 0.0) | |
Vietnam | 99.8 | 1999 | 2039 | 339 | 5.9 | 339 | 1.7 |
(Southeastern Asia) | (1990; 2004) | (2019; 2063) | (0; 1,550) | (0.0; 39.6) | (0; 1,550) | (0.0; 7.0) | |
China | 100 | 1982 | 2033 | 2,831 | 49.5 | 2,831 | 13.8 |
(Eastern Asia) | (1972; 1989) | (2019; 2052) | (0; 10,554) | (0.0; 91.2) | (0; 10,554) | (0.0; 39.0) | |
Hong Kong, SAR of China | 100 | 2003 | 2013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(Eastern Asia) | (2001; 2005) | (2013; 2014) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | |
Republic of Korea | 100 | 1982 | 2007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(Eastern Asia) | (1979; 1984) | (2004; 2012) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | |
Taiwan, Province of China | 100 | 1982 | 2026 | 4 | 0.1 | 4 | 0 |
(Eastern Asia) | (1972; 1986) | (2014; 2043) | (0; 19) | (0.0; 0.5) | (0; 19) | (0.0; 0.1) | |
Afghanistan* | 63.3 | 2031 | 2071 | 0 | 0 | 608 | 3 |
(Southern Asia) | (2013; 2059) | (2042; 2100+) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (30; 1,868) | (0.1; 9.0) | |
Bangladesh* | 77.5 | 2011 | 2049 | 0 | 0 | 1,251 | 6.1 |
(Southern Asia) | (1992; 2025) | (2024; 2077) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (89; 3,809) | (0.4; 17.3) | |
Nepal* | 81.9 | 2007 | 2047 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 0.8 |
(Southern Asia) | (1992; 2026) | (2023; 2077) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (4; 593) | (0.0; 3.0) | |
Pakistan* | 60.9 | 2028 | 2068 | 0 | 0 | 2,940 | 14.3 |
(Southern Asia) | (2004; 2056) | (2036; 2100+) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (1; 9,770) | (0.0; 38.1) | |
Egypt* | 59.5 | 2027 | 2067 | 0 | 0 | 1,491 | 7.3 |
(Northern Africa) | (2007; 2054) | (2038; 2100+) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (41; 4,846) | (0.2; 21.8) | |
Morocco* | 37.8 | 2002 | 2042 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 1.4 |
(Northern Africa) | (1981; 2031) | (2012; 2079) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (0; 924) | (0.0; 4.3) | |
Gambia* | 63.4 | 2051 | 2091 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0.3 |
(Sub-Saharan Africa) | (2026; 2079) | (2059; 2100+) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (0; 196) | (0.0; 1.0) | |
Mali* | 63.6 | 2059 | 2099 | 0 | 0 | 502 | 2.4 |
(Sub-Saharan Africa) | (2035; 2087) | (2067; 2100+) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (0; 1,958) | (0.0; 9.4) | |
Mauritania* | 63.5 | 2060 | 2100 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 0.5 |
(Sub-Saharan Africa) | (2034; 2088) | (2066; 2100+) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (0; 388) | (0.0; 2.0) | |
Nigeria* | 62.7 | 2062 | 2100+ | 0 | 0 | 4,218 | 20.6 |
(Sub-Saharan Africa) | (2036; 2089) | (2069; 2100+) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (0; 17,204) | (0.0; 52.4) | |
Senegal* | 63.2 | 2057 | 2097 | 0 | 0 | 368 | 1.8 |
(Sub-Saharan Africa) | (2031; 2084) | (2063; 2100+) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (0; 1,420) | (0.0; 6.8) | |
Tanzania* | 62.7 | 2064 | 2100+ | 0 | 0 | 1,482 | 7.2 |
(Sub-Saharan Africa) | (2037; 2091) | (2070; 2100+) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (0; 6,357) | (0.0; 26.0) | |
Uganda* | 63.4 | 2040 | 2080 | 0 | 0 | 1,003 | 4.9 |
(Sub-Saharan Africa) | (2019; 2068) | (2050; 2100+) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (17; 3,264) | (0.1; 15.0) | |
Jordan* | 54.6 | 2019 | 2059 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 0.5 |
(Western Asia) | (1999; 2048) | (2030; 2096) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (3; 306) | (0.0; 1.5) | |
Turkey* | 49.1 | 1990 | 2030 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0.2 |
(Western Asia) | (1973; 2026) | (2004; 2072) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (0; 632) | (0.0; 2.7) | |
Tajikistan* | 62.1 | 2034 | 2074 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 0.8 |
(Caucasus and central Asia) | (2013; 2062) | (2044; 2100+) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (2; 559) | (0.0; 2.8) | |
Singapore* | 75.7 | 1973 | 2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(Southeastern Asia) | (1970; 1992) | (1993; 2042) | (0; 0) | (0.0; 0.0) | (0; 1) | (0.0; 0.0) |
*Countries at risk of future SRB inflation. Countries without * are those with past/ongoing SRB inflation. 2100+: years beyond 2100. Countries are presented by region. Median estimates are the numbers before the brackets. Numbers in brackets are 95% uncertainty intervals. Proportions may not sum up to 100% due to rounding.
CMFB, cumulative number of missing female births; ENAN, Europe, North America, Australia and New Zealand; SRB, sex ratio at birth.