Calculation of probability of dying between exact ages 30 and 70 years from any of cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease, by sex, 42 townships, Myanmar, 2019
Age group | % deaths in hospitals | CSMF (4 causes combined) | Death rate of 4 causes (mx) | Probability of dying from any of 4 causes (qx) | ||
Hospital (MCCOD) | Community (VA) | Total | ||||
Men | ||||||
30–34 | 24 | 0.112 | 0.191 | 0.172 | 0.0009 | 0.0046 |
35–39 | 22 | 0.154 | 0.229 | 0.212 | 0.0017 | 0.0083 |
40–44 | 18 | 0.208 | 0.249 | 0.242 | 0.0022 | 0.0112 |
45–49 | 15 | 0.269 | 0.340 | 0.329 | 0.0037 | 0.0183 |
50–54 | 14 | 0.360 | 0.492 | 0.474 | 0.0062 | 0.0304 |
55–59 | 12 | 0.358 | 0.535 | 0.514 | 0.0088 | 0.0431 |
60–64 | 9 | 0.498 | 0.623 | 0.611 | 0.0144 | 0.0694 |
65–69 | 8 | 0.491 | 0.692 | 0.676 | 0.0237 | 0.1120 |
Probability of dying from any of 4 causes from ages 30 to 70 years | 0.2653 | |||||
Women | ||||||
30–34 | 19 | 0.184 | 0.463 | 0.409 | 0.0006 | 0.0032 |
35–39 | 20 | 0.235 | 0.473 | 0.427 | 0.0008 | 0.0040 |
40–44 | 15 | 0.315 | 0.501 | 0.473 | 0.0013 | 0.0066 |
45–49 | 9 | 0.345 | 0.581 | 0.559 | 0.0025 | 0.0123 |
50–54 | 11 | 0.418 | 0.683 | 0.654 | 0.0042 | 0.0209 |
55–59 | 9 | 0.457 | 0.721 | 0.697 | 0.0068 | 0.0335 |
60–64 | 8 | 0.583 | 0.733 | 0.722 | 0.0119 | 0.0579 |
65–69 | 5 | 0.547 | 0.760 | 0.749 | 0.0203 | 0.0967 |
Probability of dying from any of 4 causes from ages 30 to 70 years | 0.2155 |
CSMF, cause-specific mortality fraction; MCCOD, International Medical Certificate of Cause of Death; VA, verbal autopsy.