Cluster variance and contextual effects, Eastern Uganda (2005–2015)
| Null model | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | |
| Periurban | ||||||
| PCV* | (reference) | 70% | 1% | 5% | 96% | 79% |
| MRR† | 1.32 | 1.16 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Rural | ||||||
| PCV | (reference) | 47% | 27% | 23% | 65% | 76% |
| MRR | 1.17 | 1.12 | 1.14 | 1.15 | 1.10 | 1.08 |
The final model is in bold.
*PCV=proportional change in variance; it is the share of the total variance from the empty model (reference) that is attributable to the variables included in each model.
†MRR=median rate ratio; it can be interpreted as the median value of the rate ratio between the village at highest risk and the village at lowest risk when randomly picking out two villages.