Variables | Model I | Model II | Model III | Model IV | Model V | Model VI |
OR (CrI) | OR (CrI) | OR (CrI) | OR (CrI) | OR (CrI) | OR (CrI) | |
Regional polygyny prevalence (%) | 0.999 (0.994, 1.004) | 0.995 (0.991, 0.999)* | 0.996 (0.992, 1.000)* | 0.993 (0.988, 0.997)** | 0.992 (0.986, 0.998)** | |
Family structure | ||||||
Polygynous | 1.089 (1.038, 1.143)*** | 1.088 (1.035, 1.143)*** | 1.088 (1.037, 1.142)*** | 1.085 (1.035, 1.137)*** | 1.028 (0.933, 1.13) | |
Cohabiting | 1.036 (0.992, 1.081) | 1.035 (0.990, 1.08) | 1.035 (0.992, 1.08) | 1.032 (0.987, 1.07) | 1.149 (1.057, 1.25) | |
Single mother | 1.065 (1.019, 1.112)*** | 1.063 (1.020, 1.109)** | 1.067 (1.022, 1.113)** | 1.063 (1.019, 1.109)** | 1.069 (0.997, 1.14) | |
Household size | 1.006 (1.002, 1.011)** | 1.007 (1.003, 1.011)** | 1.007 (1.003, 1.011)** | 1.007 (1.003, 1.012)** | 1.007 (1.002, 1.012)** | |
Wealth index (poorer as ref) | ||||||
Average | 0.825 (0.796, 0.855)*** | 0.826 (0.798, 0.854)*** | 0.823*** (0.795, 0.852)*** | 0.826 (0.797, 0.856)*** | 0.825 (0.797, 0.854)*** | |
Richer | 0.495 (0.477, 0.515)*** | 0.498 (0.479, 0.517)*** | 0.495 (0.476, 0.514)*** | 0.497 (0.479, 0.517)*** | 0.497 (0.479, 0.516)*** | |
Religion (non-Muslim as ref) | 1.009 (0.955, 1.06) | 1.013 (0.958, 1.07) | 1.011 (0.959, 1.06) | 1.021 (0.966, 1.08) | 1.001 (0.950, 1.05) | |
Mothers years of education | 0.997 (0.990, 1.00) | 0.997 (0.990, 1.00) | 0.997 (0.990, 1.00) | 0.996 (0.990, 1.00) | 0.997 (0.991, 1.00) | |
Maternal age at birth (20-–34 years as ref) | ||||||
<20 | 0.990 (0.935, 1.04) | 0.988 (0.932, 1.04) | 0.991 (0.934, 1.05) | 0.986 (0.932, 1.04) | 0.989 (0.935, 1.04) | |
35+ | 0.905 (0.867, 0.945)*** | 0.908 (0.870, 0.947)*** | 0.907 (0.868, 0.948)*** | 0.908 (0.870, 0.947)*** | 0.913 (0.874, 0.953)*** | |
Preceding birth interval (1st born as ref) | ||||||
<24 months | 1.181 (1.126, 1.238)*** | 1.183 (1.129, 1.240)*** | 1.183 (1.129, 1.239)*** | 1.180 (1.122, 1.241)*** | 1.183 (1.129, 1.240)*** | |
24+ months | 0.887 (0.854, 0.922)*** | 0.889 (0.854, 0.924)*** | 0.889 (0.856, 0.924)*** | 0.887 (0.850, 0.926)*** | 0.889 (0.853, 0.926)*** | |
Sibship size | 0.995 (0.991, 0.999)* | 0.995** (0.991, 0.999)** | 0.995 (0.991, 0.999)** | 0.995 (0.991, 0.999)** | 0.995 (0.991, 0.999)* | |
Female kid | 0.792 (0.770, 0.814)*** | 0.792*** (0.771, 0.813)*** | 0.792 (0.772, 0.813)*** | 0.791 (0.770, 0.813)*** | 0.791 (0.770, 0.813)*** | |
Birth order | 1.029 (1.019, 1.039)*** | 1.027*** (1.018, 1.037)*** | 1.028 (1.018, 1.039)*** | 1.027 (1.017, 1.038)*** | 1.027 (1.017, 1.037)*** | |
Multibirth | 2.000 (1.862, 2.149)*** | 2.004*** (1.874, 2.143)*** | 2.002 (1.870, 2.145)*** | 2.005 (1.873, 2.145)*** | 1.998 (1.867, 2.137)*** | |
Rurality | 0.998 (0.996, 1.00) | 0.997 (0.994, 1.000)* | 1.001 (0.999, 1.00) | |||
Access to electricity | 0.991*** (0.989, 0.994)*** | 0.991 (0.988, 0.994)*** | 0.996 (0.993, 0.999)** | |||
Gender-based inequality | 0.828*** (0.757, 0.905)*** | 0.850 (0.781, 0.926)*** | 0.845 (0.754, 0.948)** | |||
Cross-level interaction terms | ||||||
Polygynous* regional % of polygyny | 1.002 (0.999, 1.00) | |||||
Cohabiting* regional % of polygyny | 0.994 (0.989, 0.999)* | |||||
Single mother* regional % of polygyny | 1.000 (0.996, 1.00) | |||||
Human Development Index (lowest as ref) | ||||||
Average HDI | 0.640 (0.523, 0.783)*** | |||||
High HDI | 0.729 (0.597, 0.891)** | |||||
Study year | 1.039 (1.039, 1.039)** | |||||
Regions—var(cons) | 1.43 (1.352, 1.515)*** | 1.331 (1.265, 1.401)*** | 1.295 (1.236, 1.358)*** | 1.320 (1.255, 1.388)*** | 1.291 (1.233, 1.351)*** | 1.255 (1.203, 1.308)*** |
VPC (%) | 24.2 (23.2, 25.2) | 22.4 (21.7, 23.2) | 21.9 (21.2, 22.7) | 22.3 (21.6, 22.6) | 21.9 (21.2, 22.6) | 21.9 (20.8, 22.0) |
Family—var(cons) | 1.186 (1.167, 1.205)*** | 1.306 (1.276, 1.337)*** | 1.305 (1.268, 1.343)*** | 1.303 (1.270, 1.336)*** | 1.310 (1.278, 1.343)*** | 1.309 (1.274, 1.346)*** |
VPC (%) | 44.3 (43.4, 45.3) | 44.5 (43.6, 45.4) | 44.1 (43.2, 45.1) | 44.4 (43.5, 45.8) | 44.1 (43.3, 45.0) | 44.1 (42.9, 44.7) |
*p<0.05, **p<0.01, ***p<0.001.
CrI, credible interval; VPC, variance partition coefficient.