Variables | Model I | Model II | Model III | Model IV | Model V | Model VI |
OR (CrI) | OR (CrI) | OR (CrI) | OR (CrI) | OR (CrI) | OR (CrI) | |
Regional polygyny prevalence (%) | 1.007 (1.002, 1.012)** | 1.005 (1.000, 1.009)* | 1.006 (1.001, 1.010)* | 1.002 (0.997, 1.00) | 1.003 (0.997, 1.00) | |
Family structure | ||||||
Polygynous | 1.042 (0.977, 1.11) | 1.041 (0.976, 1.11) | 1.044 (0.982, 1.11) | 1.042 (0.979, 1.10) | 0.954 (0.833, 1.09) | |
Cohabiting | 1.032 (0.971, 1.09) | 1.033 (0.974, 1.09) | 1.035 (0.973, 1.10) | 1.031 (0.970, 1.09) | 1.160 (1.020, 1.32)* | |
Single mother | 1.138 (1.076, 1.20)*** | 1.138 (1.076, 1.20)*** | 1.145 (1.081, 1.21)*** | 1.141 (1.078, 1.20)*** | 1.104 (1.002, 1.21)* | |
Household size | 1.013 (1.008, 1.01)*** | 1.013 (1.008, 1.01)*** | 1.013 (1.008, 1.01)*** | 1.014 (1.008, 1.01)*** | 1.014 (1.009, 1.01)*** | |
Wealth Index (poorer as ref) | ||||||
Average quantile | 0.773 (0.738, 0.81)*** | 0.775 (0.742, 0.81)*** | 0.773 (0.739, 0.80)*** | 0.774 (0.741, 0.80)*** | 0.773 (0.738, 0.80)*** | |
Richer | 0.477 (0.451, 0.50)*** | 0.482 (0.458, 0.50)*** | 0.477 (0.454, 0.50)*** | 0.481 (0.457, 0.50)*** | 0.479 (0.455, 0.50)*** | |
Religion (non-Muslim as ref) | 1.137 (1.062, 1.21)*** | 1.153 (1.074, 1.23)*** | 1.140 (1.064, 1.22)*** | 1.148 (1.068, 1.23)*** | 1.128 (1.051, 1.21)*** | |
Mothers years of education | 0.990 (0.981, 1.00)* | 0.990 (0.982, 0.99)* | 0.990 (0.982, 0.99)* | 0.990 (0.982, 0.99)* | 0.990 (0.982, 0.99)* | |
Maternal age at birth (20–34 years as ref) | ||||||
<20 | 1.118 (1.040, 1.20)** | 1.117 (1.040, 1.20)** | 1.116 (1.037, 1.20)** | 1.117 (1.038, 1.20)** | 1.116 (1.040, 1.19)** | |
35+ | 0.961 (0.907, 1.01) | 0.958 (0.905, 1.01) | 0.961 (0.904, 1.02) | 0.961 (0.906, 1.02) | 0.963 (0.908, 1.02) | |
Preceding birth interval (1st born as ref) | ||||||
<24 months | 1.193 (1.116, 1.27)*** | 1.188 (1.108, 1.27)*** | 1.192 (1.118, 1.27)*** | 1.192 (1.118, 1.27)*** | 1.185 (1.108, 1.26)*** | |
24+ months | 0.928 (0.880, 0.98)** | 0.925 (0.873, 0.97)** | 0.928 (0.880, 0.97)** | 0.928 (0.877, 0.98)** | 0.926 (0.876, 0.97)** | |
Sibship size | 0.995 (0.990, 1.00) | 0.996 (0.991, 1.00) | 0.995 (0.991, 1.00) | 0.996 (0.991, 1.00) | 0.996 (0.991, 1.00) | |
Female kid | 0.829 (0.800, 0.85)*** | 0.829 (0.799, 0.86)*** | 0.829 (0.800, 0.85)*** | 0.829 (0.800, 0.85)*** | 0.828 (0.798, 0.85)*** | |
Birth order | 1.021 (1.008, 1.03)** | 1.022 (1.009, 1.03)** | 1.021 (1.007, 1.03)** | 1.020 (1.008, 1.03)** | 1.019 (1.006, 1.03)** | |
Multibirth | 2.378 (2.198, 2.57)*** | 2.373 (2.185, 2.57)*** | 2.379 (2.198, 2.57)*** | 2.380 (2.195, 2.58)*** | 2.378 (2.196, 2.57)*** | |
Rurality | 1.002 (1.000, 1.00) | 1.004 (1.001, 1.00)** | 1.004 (1.003, 1.00)*** | |||
Access to electricity | 0.996 (0.993, 1.00)* | 0.999 (0.995, 1.00) | 1.001 (0.999, 1.00) | |||
Gender-based inequality | 0.848 (0.747, 0.96)* | 0.859 (0.767, 0.96)** | 0.885 (0.806, 0.97)* | |||
Cross-level interaction terms | ||||||
Polygynous* regional % of polygyny | 1.003 (0.999, 1.00) | |||||
Cohabiting* regional % of polygyny | 0.993 (0.986, 1.00)* | |||||
Single mother* regional % of polygyny | 1.002 (0.998, 1.00) | |||||
Human Development Index (lowest as ref) | ||||||
Average HDI | 0.526 (0.463, 0.59)*** | |||||
High HDI | 0.765 (0.657, 0.89)*** | |||||
Study year | 1.090 (1.090, 1.09)*** | |||||
Regions—var(cons) | 1.584 (1.467, 1.70)*** | 1.395 (1.310, 1.48)*** | 1.376 (1.297, 1.45)*** | 1.391 (1.309, 1.47)*** | 1.374 (1.296, 1.45)*** | 1.271 (1.215, 1.33)*** |
VPC (%) | 26.0 (25.2, 27.7) | 24.5 (23.4, 25.6) | 24.2 (23.1, 25.4) | 24.4 (23.4, 25.4) | 24.2 (23.1, 43.4) | 22.8 (22.1, 23.7) |
Family—var(cons) | 1.121 (1.084, 1.15)*** | 1.002 (1.002, 1.00)*** | 1.003 (1.001, 1.00)*** | 1.005 (1.000, 1.01)* | 1.001 (1.001, 1.00)*** | 1.002 (1.001, 1.00)*** |
VPC (%) | 45.6 (43.6, 46.6) | 42.1 (41.2, 43.0) | 41.9 (41.0, 42.8) | 42.1 (41.2, 42.9) | 41.9 (41.0, 56.6) | 40.8 (40.3, 41.4) |
*p<0.05, **p<0.01, ***p< 0.001.
CrI, credible interval; VPC, variance partition coefficient.