Adjusted Bayesian regression analysis for pooled data of all-hospitals, tertiary and secondary hospitals
| Variables | All-hospitals | Tertiary | Secondary |
| Estimates (95% CI) | Estimates (95% CI) | Estimates (95% CI) | |
| Outpatients | |||
| Constant (average) | −9436 (−16490 to -2305) | −30610 (−466300 to 395400) | −12920 (−23480 to -2355) |
| Demonetisation | 535.4 (−7097 to 8116) | 2770 (−1253 to 6833) | −244.9 (−10380 to 9859) |
| Post-demonetisation | −896.3 (−10090 to 8421) | 1061 (−3683 to 5917) | −1653 (−13690 to 10 590) |
| Winter | −2769 (−9836 to 4377) | −5678 (−9357 to -1972) | −1720 (−11180 to 7832) |
| Inpatients | |||
| Constant (average) | 1188 (1034 to 1343) | −2329 (−437500 to 425 300) | 1232 (1059 to 1405) |
| Demonetisation | −145.6 (−286.4 to −10.63) | −171.6 (−401.8 to 61.28) | −120 (−288 to 51.39) |
| Post-demonetisation | −139.8 (−298.5 to 20.36) | −176.3 (−448 to 101.7) | −108.6 (−297.8 to 83.04) |
| Winter | −60.5 (−191.9 to 68.7) | −190.3 (-401.2 to 22.25) | −3.44 (-162.9 to 158.4) |
| Mortality rate | |||
| Constant (average) | 26.08 (15.32 to 37.14) | −12.63 (−1963 to 1934) | 42.92 (32.39 to 53.63) |
| Demonetisation | −6.32 (−15.45 to 2.75) | 1.41 (−2.50 to 5.24) | −10.64 (−20.69 to −0.63) |
| Post-demonetisation | −2.25 (−13.2 to 8.78) | 2.51 (−2.04 to 6.94) | −4.94 (−17.03 to 7.52) |
| Winter | 6.10 (−2.56 to 14.81) | 2.78 (−0.691 to 6.278) | 8.1 (−1.49 to 17.77) |
| Surgery rate | |||
| Constant (average) | 232.8 (194.1 to 272.8) | 50.22 (−1896 to 1946) | 298.6 (254.3 to 342) |
| Demonetisation | 11.35 (−23.81 to 46.07) | 37.1 (2.65 to 71.94) | −4.685 (−46.25 to 37.41) |
| Post-demonetisation | −2.061 (−44.57 to 41.22) | 41.54 (0.87 to 83.11) | −30.1 (−80.52 to 21.34) |
| Winter | −10.57 (−43.2 to 22.36) | −29.66 (−61.18 to 2.15) | 0.92 (−36.43 to 40.02) |
| Obstetric rate | |||
| Constant (average) | 245.9 (197.1 to 295.9) | 7.837 (−1939 to 1953) | 230.8 (160.7 to 300.9) |
| Demonetisation | 18.98 (−26.98 to 64.5) | −3.532 (−17.48 to 10.11) | 31.81 (−43.18 to 107.4) |
| Post-demonetisation | 10.47 (−43.95 to 65.65) | 5.694 (−10.52 to 21.49) | 13.42 (−73.46 to 101.9) |
| Winter | 6.515 (−36.14 to 49.63) | 9.567 (−2.82 to 22.02) | 5.18 (−61.96 to 75.65) |
| Delivery rate | |||
| Constant (average) | 629.1 (576.1 to 683) | −23.99 (−1973 to 1888) | 681.9 (614.8 to 749) |
| Demonetisation | −10.53 (−58.49 to 36.34) | 2.16 (−6.40 to 10.8) | −17.69 (−83.82 to 48.84) |
| Post-demonetisation | −25.01 (−83.07 to 33.57) | −5.60 (−15.7 to 4.73) | −35.57 (−115.4 to 46.36) |
| Winter | 3.49 (−40.83 to 48.3) | −3.77 (−11.6 to 4.12) | 8.31 (−53.36 to 71.04) |
| Accident emergency rate | |||
| Constant (average) | 114.1 (99.37 to 129.1) | −25.55 (−1976 to 1921) | 125.3 (114.4 to 136.5) |
| Demonetisation | −0.25 (−11.36 to 10.68) | 2.50 (−1.34 to 6.26) | −1.95 (−11.17 to 7.34) |
| Post-demonetisation | −3.18 (−16.21 to 9.83) | 2.04 (−2.44 to 6.39) | −6.25 (−16.94 to 4.64) |
| Winter | −0.21 (−10.52 to 9.86) | 2.22 (−1.2 to 5.65) | −1.60 (−9.85 to 7.08) |
The above estimates of parameters are adjusted by the teaching status, interactions between hospital with log no. of beds and hospital with log no. of doctors. Constant is the mean value of all the months used in the analysis. This gives a reference to compare the change in the variables. ‘Demonetisation’ was between November 2016 and February 2017 (4 months) where the periods early and late have been clubbed together. ‘Post-demonetisation’ was March and April 2017. The winter months were taken as November, December, January and February of both demonetisation and control periods. Winter values represent the seasonal changes, and this is compared with the non-winter months. All rates are represented per 1000 inpatients. Rate calculations were per 1000 outpatients for obstetric rate and emergency rate, and per 1000 inpatients for surgery and delivery rates.
CI, credible intervals.