Table 1

Parameters of the discrete-time SALIR transmission model

ParameterDefinitionInput valueDiscrete-time SALIRReference/source
p The probability of not developing symptoms throughout the course0.179NA 8
Embedded Image The transmission coefficient of the A classNA
Embedded Image The transmission coefficient of the L classNA2.00×10-8 Calibrated
Embedded Image The transmission coefficient of the I classNA3.20×10-7 Calibrated
Embedded Image The transition rate of individuals from the L class to the I class0.200/dayNA 23–25
Embedded Image The case fatality rate of the I class0.00150/person-dayNA 8
Embedded Image The recovery rate of the A classNA0.130/dayCalibrated
Embedded Image The recovery rate of the I class0.0590/dayNA 26
r Fraction moving into social distancingNA0.145Calibrated
St=0 Initial number in the S class9 000 000NA 38
At=0 Initial number in the A class6NAImputed
Lt=0 Initial number in the L class252NAImputed
It=0 Initial number in the I class280NAImputed
  • NA, not applicable.