Base-case scenario probabilities
| Probabilities | Value and OWSA range | PSA distribution | Source |
| Probability of seeking outpatient consultation | Baseline: 0.001 Range: 0.009-0.0004 | Beta (mean 0.001, SE 0.001) | Valerio et al19 |
| Probability of being diagnosed and treated | Baseline: 0.92 Range: 0.969–0.877 | Beta (mean 0.92, SE 0.03) | Bissofi et al28 |
| Probability of clearing infection | Baseline: 0.84 Range: 0.72- 0.98 | Beta (mean 0.84, SE 0.066) | Henriquez-Camacho et al6 |
| Probability of seeking inpatient consultation due to severe disease | Baseline: 0.000423 Range: 0.000339–0.000508 | Beta (mean 0.000423, SE 0.0001) | Salvador et al21 |
| Probability of being diagnosed and treated for severe disease | Baseline: 0.92 Range: 0.969–0.877 | Beta (mean 0.92, SE 0.03) | Bissofi et al28 |
| Probability of curing and clearing infection in severe disease | 1-CFR | CFR is estimated below | |
| Probability of dying due to severe disease (CFR) | Baseline: 0.47 Range: 0.33–0.62 | Beta (mean 0.47, SE 0.01) | Buonfrate et al5 |
| Probability of misdiagnosis and treatment for Strongyloides infection | Baseline: 0.001 Range: 0.0069–0.001 | Beta (mean 0.001, SE 0.001) | Bissofi et al28 |
| Probability of death due to other causes | Mortality tables | Spanish National Statistical Institute29 |
CFR, case fatality ratio; OWSA, one-way sensitivity analysis; PSA, probabilistic sensitivity analysis.