Table 3
Projection of infections accounting for Africa-specific factors
| Comorbidity | ||||||||
| % of the survival rate of healthy patients | |||||||||
| 75% | 25% | ||||||||
| Severe | Mild | Asymptomatic | Days* | Severe | Mild | Asymptomatic | Days* | ||
| Ghana | 50% | 0.2 million | 4.4 million | 3.3 million | 81 | 0.3 million | 4.8 million | 3.9 million | 81 |
| 75% | 0.2 million | 4.8 million | 3.9 million | 96 | 0.3 million | 4.4 million | 3.3 million | 96 | |
| Kenya | 50% | 0.4 million | 8.2 million | 5.3 million | 167 | 0.4 million | 5.5 million | 4.2 million | 168 |
| 75% | 0.3 million | 5.6 million | 4.2 million | 130 | 0.6 million | 8 million | 5.3 million | 131 | |
| Senegal | 50% | 0.1 million | 2.2 million | 1.6 million | 87 | 0.1 million | 2.3 million | 1.9 million | 87 |
| 75% | 0.1 million | 2.4 million | 1.9 million | 105 | 0.1 million | 2.1 million | 1.6 million | 105 | |
The peaks of each infection subcompartment might not align.
*Days of total infection peak, since the first case tested positive. March 2 for Senegal, March 13 for Ghana and March 14 for Kenya.