Table 2

Projections of active cases at the peak of the epidemic for each infected compartment

		Days since first case	Active cases at peak
		Days since first case	Severe symptoms	Mild symptoms	No symptoms
Ghana	Low policy effectiveness	79	0.4 million	9.1 million	7.7 million
	Baseline	114	0.3 million	6.7 million	4.9 million
	High policy effectiveness	250	0.1 million	2.7 million	1.6 million
Kenya	Low policy effectiveness	79	0.6 million	15.4 million	13.1 million
	Baseline	116	0.5 million	11.7 million	8.3 million
	High policy effectiveness	252	0.2 million	4.6 million	2.7 million
Senegal	Low policy effectiveness	90	0.2 million	4.8 million	3.9 million
	Baseline	128	0.1 million	3.5 million	2.5 million
	High policy effectiveness	254	0.1 million	1.5 million	1.0 million

The peaks of each infection subcompartment might not align.