Projections of active cases at the peak of the epidemic for each infected compartment
Days since first case | Active cases at peak | ||||
Severe symptoms | Mild symptoms | No symptoms | |||
Ghana | Low policy effectiveness | 79 | 0.4 million | 9.1 million | 7.7 million |
Baseline | 114 | 0.3 million | 6.7 million | 4.9 million | |
High policy effectiveness | 250 | 0.1 million | 2.7 million | 1.6 million | |
Kenya | Low policy effectiveness | 79 | 0.6 million | 15.4 million | 13.1 million |
Baseline | 116 | 0.5 million | 11.7 million | 8.3 million | |
High policy effectiveness | 252 | 0.2 million | 4.6 million | 2.7 million | |
Senegal | Low policy effectiveness | 90 | 0.2 million | 4.8 million | 3.9 million |
Baseline | 128 | 0.1 million | 3.5 million | 2.5 million | |
High policy effectiveness | 254 | 0.1 million | 1.5 million | 1.0 million |
The peaks of each infection subcompartment might not align.