Variable name | Baseline estimates | PSA distributions | Sources |
Life years gained (discounted) | |||
Maternal years | 25.0%±20%* | Normal | 34 |
Perinatal years | 27.8 (22.1–30.5) | Normal | 34 |
Outcome probabilities | |||
Stillbirth if mother is alive | 0.028 (0.018–0.038) | 39 | |
Stillbirth if mother is dead | 0.273 (0.245–0.301) | 39 | |
Early neonatal death if mother is alive | 0.019 (0.011–0.027) | 39 | |
Early neonatal death if mother is dead | 0.086 (0.069–0.103) | 39 | |
Maternal death from incidental causes | 0.004±20%* | 34 56 | |
Maternal complications (%) | |||
Facility-based births | 7.31 (0.07–0.08) | 46 | |
Home-based births | 10.9%±20%* | Assumption | |
Maternal case fatality rates (%) | |||
Sepsis | 10.8 (3.6–18.0) | 52 89 | |
Haemorrhage | 7.6 (2.8–12.3) | 52 53 | |
Obstruction | 7.4 (2.0–12.7) | 54 89 | |
Eclampsia | 10.7 (3.4–18.0) | 52 89 | |
Other/complicated home births | 9.1%±20%* | Assumption | |
Share of complications (%) | |||
Sepsis | 32.0 (27.3–36.7) | 50 | |
Haemorrhage | 32.0 (27.3–36.7) | 50 | |
Obstruction | 11.0 (7.8–14.2) | 50 | |
Eclampsia | 20.0 (16.0–24.0) | 50 | |
Others | 5.0 (2.8–7.2) | 50 | |
Disability weights | |||
Sepsis | 0.133 (0.088–0.190) | 66 | |
Haemorrhage | 0.324 (0.220–0.442) | 66 | |
Obstruction | 0.324 (0.220–0.442) | 66 | |
Eclampsia | 0.260%±20%* | ||
Others | 0.133 (0.088–0.190) | ||
Service use (%) | |||
Births in RBF facilities | 82.8 (80.8–84.8) | Beta | 41 |
Births in non-RBF facilities | 79.8 (76.0–83.6) | Beta | 41 |
Complication care seeking RBF facilities | 69.7 (66.0–73.1) | 42 | |
Complication care seeking non-RBF facilities | 67.1 (60.2–73.4) | Beta | 42 |
Effective coverage RBF facilities | 76.4 (74.2–78.6) | Beta | 41 |
Effective coverage non-RBF facilities | 69.1 (64.8–73.4) | Beta | 41 |
Effective coverage/quality effects (%) | |||
Reduction in maternal CFRs | 27.5%±20%* | 43 | |
Reduction in stillbirth rate | 19.5%±20%* | 43 | |
Reduction in early neonatal death rate | 0 | 43 | |
Relative risks | |||
Stillbirth risk in facilities with vs without effective coverage | |||
if mother dead | 0.8292%±20%* | 39 43 | |
If mother alive | 0.8072%±20%* | LogNormal | 39 43 |
Perinatal death, home vs facility births | 1.2579%±20%* | LogNormal | 63 |
Patient costs (US$) | |||
Normal birth RBF facility | 2.72%±20%* | 90 | |
Normal birth, non-RBF facility | 2.72%±20%* | 90 | |
Complicated birth, non-RBF facility | 13.68%±20%* | 42 | |
Complicated birth, RBF facility | 15.15%±20%* | 42 | |
Home delivery | 2.00%±20%* | Assumption | |
RBF costs (US$) | |||
RBF facility | 36 016.60±20%* | Gamma | Estimations |
Non-RBF facility | 14 090.49±20%* | Estimations | |
Incentive woman delivering at RBF facility | 5181.00±20%* | Estimations | |
Incentive health worker† | 12 577.01±20%* | Estimation |
*Sensitivity range based on assumption.
†Precludes incentive money given to health facilities.
PSA, probability sensitivity analysis.