Table 1

List of parameters used in results based financing compared with non-results based financing decision tree model.

Variable nameBaseline estimatesPSA distributionsSources
Life years gained (discounted)
 Maternal years25.0%±20%*Normal34
 Perinatal years27.8 (22.1–30.5)Normal34
Outcome probabilities
 Stillbirth if mother is alive0.028 (0.018–0.038)39
 Stillbirth if mother is dead0.273 (0.245–0.301)39
 Early neonatal death if mother is alive0.019 (0.011–0.027)39
 Early neonatal death if mother is dead0.086 (0.069–0.103)39
 Maternal death from incidental causes0.004±20%*34 56
Maternal complications (%)
 Facility-based births7.31 (0.07–0.08)46
 Home-based births10.9%±20%*Assumption
 Maternal case fatality rates (%)
 Sepsis10.8 (3.6–18.0)52 89
 Haemorrhage7.6 (2.8–12.3)52 53
 Obstruction7.4 (2.0–12.7)54 89
 Eclampsia10.7 (3.4–18.0)52 89
 Other/complicated home births9.1%±20%*Assumption
Share of complications (%)
 Sepsis32.0 (27.3–36.7)50
 Haemorrhage32.0 (27.3–36.7)50
 Obstruction11.0 (7.8–14.2)50
 Eclampsia20.0 (16.0–24.0)50
 Others5.0 (2.8–7.2)50
Disability weights
 Sepsis0.133 (0.088–0.190)66
 Haemorrhage0.324 (0.220–0.442)66
 Obstruction0.324 (0.220–0.442)66
 Eclampsia0.260%±20%*
 Others0.133 (0.088–0.190)
Service use (%)
 Births in RBF facilities82.8 (80.8–84.8)Beta41
 Births in non-RBF facilities79.8 (76.0–83.6)Beta41
 Complication care seeking RBF facilities69.7 (66.0–73.1)42
 Complication care seeking non-RBF facilities67.1 (60.2–73.4)Beta42
 Effective coverage RBF facilities76.4 (74.2–78.6)Beta41
 Effective coverage non-RBF facilities69.1 (64.8–73.4)Beta41
Effective coverage/quality effects (%)
 Reduction in maternal CFRs27.5%±20%*43
 Reduction in stillbirth rate19.5%±20%*43
 Reduction in early neonatal death rate043
Relative risks
Stillbirth risk in facilities with vs without effective coverage
 if mother dead0.8292%±20%*39 43
 If mother alive0.8072%±20%*LogNormal39 43
 Perinatal death, home vs facility births1.2579%±20%*LogNormal63
Patient costs (US$)
 Normal birth RBF facility2.72%±20%*90
 Normal birth, non-RBF facility2.72%±20%*90
 Complicated birth, non-RBF facility13.68%±20%*42
 Complicated birth, RBF facility15.15%±20%*42
 Home delivery2.00%±20%*Assumption
RBF costs (US$)
 RBF facility36 016.60±20%*GammaEstimations
 Non-RBF facility14 090.49±20%*Estimations
 Incentive woman delivering at RBF facility5181.00±20%*Estimations
 Incentive health worker†12 577.01±20%*Estimation
  • *Sensitivity range based on assumption.

  • †Precludes incentive money given to health facilities.

  • PSA, probability sensitivity analysis.