Income level | Deaths averted (000s) | Years of life gained (000s) | Deaths averted (per 100 000) | Years of life gained (per 100 000) | Change in expenditure (discounted, US$ 2018, billions) | Change in tax revenue (discounted, US$ 2018, billions) |
20% price increase | ||||||
Low | 591 | 11 665 | 90 | 1784 | 37 | 98 |
(435 to 747) | (8355 to 14 975) | (64 to 110) | (1225 to 2196) | (15 to 59) | (87 to 109) | |
Lower middle | 4179 | 98 999 | 140 | 3311 | 548 | 1767 |
(3095 to 5262) | (71 194 to 126 804) | (99 to 169) | (2283 to 4066) | (223 to 872) | (1654 to 1880) | |
Upper middle | 2460 | 70 097 | 96 | 2739 | 1013 | 3291 |
(1780 to 3141) | (49 382 to 90 812) | (67 to 118) | (1850 to 3403) | (404 to 1623) | (3079 to 3503) | |
High | 1536 | 46 661 | 130 | 3954 | 1360 | 4272 |
(1085 to 1987) | (32 295 to 61 026) | (88 to 161) | (2624 to 4958) | (556 to 2163) | (3983 to 4561) | |
Global | 8766 | 227 421 | 119 | 3080 | 2958 | 9428 |
(6395 to 11 136) | (161 226 to 293 617) | (83 to 145) | (2094 to 3813) | (1198 to 4718) | (8803 to 10 053) | |
50% price increase | ||||||
Low | 1431 | 28 139 | 210 | 4126 | 20 | 174 |
(1059 to 1803) | (20 300 to 35 978) | (155 to 264) | (2977 to 5276) | (−48 to 87) | (133 to 214) | |
Lower middle | 10 101 | 237 981 | 324 | 7631 | 293 | 3353 |
(7527 to 12 674) | (172 499 to 303 463) | (241 to 406) | (5532 to 9731) | (−710 to 1297) | (2883 to 3823) | |
Upper middle | 5957 | 169 077 | 223 | 6335 | 520 | 6229 |
(4337 to 7577) | (120 008 to 218 147) | (163 to 284) | (4497 to 8174) | (−1363 to 2404) | (5347 to 7110) | |
High | 3687 | 111 548 | 300 | 9062 | 716 | 8022 |
(2625 to 4749) | (77 949 to 145 146) | (213 to 386) | (6333 to 11 792) | (−1780 to 3212) | (6825 to 9220) | |
Global | 21 176 | 546 745 | 275 | 7101 | 1549 | 17 778 |
(15 548 to 26 804) | (390 755 to 702 735) | (202 to 348) | (5075 to 9126) | (−3902 to 6999) | (15 188 to 20 367) |
Uniform price increase across all beverages, no substitution assumed. Uncertainty interval (95%) in parentheses. Discount rate of 3% is assumed for economic outcomes.