Table 1

Parameters for CC screening and treatment options

ParameterDescriptionValue (%)Reference
Diagnostic performance
VIAValues specific for detection of CIN 2+ lesions among WHIV in Kenya, irrespective of age or stage of cervical abnormality.28
Sensitivity62.70
Specificity65.90
HPV-DNA
Sensitivity83.60
Specificity55.70
Treatment efficacy
Cryo (eligible lesions)*Values specific to WHIV in Kenya, irrespective of age or stage of cervical abnormality.7020
Cryo (ineligible lesions)*Efficacy was defined as the probability of remaining cervical disease free at 24 months after treatment.35Assumed
LEEP (Cryo ineligible)*For Cryo-ineligible lesions, the model assumed efficacy of Cryo to be half, in absence of empirical data.80.2021
Proportion of Cryo-ineligible* lesions
CIN 1CIN 1 and CIS values were assumed. CIN 2/3 value from an implementation study from the Zambia, specifically using VIA without digital enhancement or other means for increased sensitivity.043
CIN 2/316.70
CIS100
Individuals refusing CC servicesAveraged value from two Kenyan surveys, one of which specifically included diagnosed WHIV in its sample.1322 23
LTFU
From testing with HPV-DNA to obtaining of resultsTesting with HPV-DNA assumed to require two clinic visits (one for testing and one to obtaining results).259 10
From obtaining results (either with VIA or HPV-DNA) to treatment with LEEPTreatment with LEEP assumed to require referral to a specialised clinic.49
  • *The model assumed that 16.7% of individuals with CIN 2/3 status and that all with CIS and CC status had signs of Cryo ineligibility. Per clinical practice guidelines, Cryo-eligible lesions are those that do not have signs of invasive cancer (eg, bleeding), that are visible in their entirety, that do not extend more than 2–3 mm into the endocervical canal (which should be normal in appearance) and that can be fully covered by the Cryo probe.

  • CC, cervical cancer; CIN, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia; CIS, carcinoma in situ; Cryo, cryotherapy; HPV, human papillomavirus; LEEP, loop excision electrical procedure; LTFU, loss to follow-up; VIA, visual inspection with acetic acid; WHIV, women living with HIV.