Table 1

Marginal effects of the fixed effects and hyperparameters of the posterior c-section models at 5 km, 50 km and 100 km

Parameter	5 km			50 km			100 km
Parameter	Mean	Lower 95% CI	Upper 95% CI	Mean	Lower 95% CI	Upper 95% CI	Mean	Lower 95% CI	Upper 95% CI
Accessibility to cities	1.0001	0.9975	1.0027	0.9999	0.9975	1.0022	0.9999	0.9975	1.0022
Night-time lights	0.9603	0.0522	19.7189	0.666	0.0308	14.7623	0.6574	0.0298	14.9301
Live births	1.0471	0.8645	1.2873	0.9915	0.8313	1.1913	0.9938	0.8313	1.197
Poverty	0.0271	0.0005	2.1231	0.0071	0.0001	0.4548	0.0071	0.0001	0.4682
Travel to nearest hospital	1.0046	0.9946	1.0143	1.0062	0.9965	1.0163	1.0063	0.9964	1.0164

Hyperparameters
Θ₁	Mean	SD	95% CI	Mean	SD	95% CI	Mean	SD	95% CI
	−0.9259	0.6329	(−2.1791 to 0.3104)	0.229	0.942	(−1.636 to 2.071)	0.213	0.945	(−1.646 to 2.070)
Θ₂	0.1348	0.4988	(−0.8380 to 1.1226)	0.041	0.724	(−1.376 to 1.472)	0.052	0.718	(−1.352 to 1.474)
Precision	1816.2045	1813.6598	(121.78 to 6626.24)	5.290	5.794	(0.647 to 20.476)	5.814	6.901	(0.648 to 23.539)
λ	0.5020	0.2699	(0.0497 to 0.9491)	0.354	0.243	(0.031 to 0.876)	0.354	0.243	(0.030 to 0.876)
DIC	155.67			152.4			152.61
P_D	17.65			17.70			17.81
Marginal likelihood	−118.52			−120.84			−120.89

DIC, deviance information criterion.