Table 2

Included studies implemented near real-time vaccine safety monitoring methods (sequential analysis)

Study, CountryData sources and periodStudy designStudy subjectVaccine studiedAdverse events studiedAnalysis approach and signal detection methodMain finding
Yih, 2009
USA64
VSD
(from August 2005 to May 2008)
  • Prospective active surveillance with observed vs expected analysis

10–64 years of ageTdap (new vaccine)Encephalopathy-encephalitis-meningitis, paralytic syndromes, seizures, cranial nerve disorders (including Belly's palsy) and GBS.
  • Weekly sequential analysis, PMaxSPRT

  • Supplementary analysis: end of surveillance analysis, temporal clustering and logistic regression analysis

No increased risks were identified for any of the outcomes over the course of 145 weeks surveillance
Klein, 2010
USA43
VSD
(from January 2006 to October 2008)
  • Prospective active surveillance with observed vs expected analysis

Children age 12–23 monthsMMRVSeizures and fever
  • Weekly sequential analysis, PMaxSPRT

  • Supplementary analysis: temporal clustering analysis, Poisson, logistic and case-centred regression analyses

Signal for seizure during days 7–10 was identified and confirmed,
IRR=1.98 (1.43–2.73)
Huang, 2010
Taiwan34
(2009/2010 season)
  • Prospective active surveillance with SCRI and observed vs expected analysis

≥6 months old ageH1N1 vaccine (LAMV and MIV)Neurological, allergic and haematological AEs.Weekly sequential analysis, BMaxSPRT and PMaxSPRTNo increased risks were identified for any of the outcomes over the course of 22 weeks follow-up
Belongia, 2010
USA22
VSD
(May 2006 to May 2008)
  • Prospective active surveillance with observed vs expected analysis

Infant aged 4–48 weeksPenta-Valente rota virus (new vaccine)Intussusception and other (seizures, meningitis/encephalitis, myocarditis, Gram negative sepsis, gastrointestinal bleeding and Kawasaki syndrome)
  • Weekly sequential analysis, PMaxSPRT

  • End of surveillance period analysis

  • Single non-sequential analysis for gastrointestinal bleeding and Kawasaki syndrome

No increased risks were identified for any of the outcomes over the course of 164 weeks surveillance
Lee, 2011
USA47
VSD
(November 2009 to April 2010)
  • Prospective active surveillance with SCRI and observed vs expected analysis

≥6 months old ageH1N1 and seasonal influenza vaccine11 potential neurological, allergic and cardiac AEs.
  • Weekly sequential analysis, BMaxSPRT and PMaxSPRT

  • Supplementary analysis: Temporal cluster analysis and Case-centred logistic regression

Signal was observed for Bell’s palsy at week 20, but not confirmed after further analysis
Gee, 2011
USA29
VSD
(August 2006 to October 2009)
  • observed vs expected and

  • Cohort with concurrent comparison

9–26-year-old femaleQuadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccine (HPV4)GBS), stroke, venous thromboembolism (VTE), appendicitis, seizures, syncope, allergic reactions, and anaphylaxis
  • Weekly sequential analysis, PMaxSPR and exact sequential analysis

  • Supplementary analysis: Temporal cluster analysis and Case-centred and logistic regression analysis

Excess risk for appendicitis was identified but not confirmed
Tse, 2012
USA57
VSD
(August 2010 to February 2011)
observed vs expected analysis and
SCRI designs
Children ages 6–59 monthsTIVFebrile seizures in the 0–1 days following first dose TIVWeekly analysis, both BMaxSPRT and PMaxSPRTExcess risk for seizures identified and confirmed, IRR=2.4 (1.3–4.7)
Wise, 2012
USA62
Emerging Infections
Programme (EIP)
(October 2009 to May 2010)
  • Retrospective active surveillance with SCRI design

All individuals who received the vaccineInfluenza A (H1N1) monovalent vaccinesGBS during the 42 days following vaccination
  • Weekly sequential analysis, PMaxSPRT

  • Sensitivity analysis

  • Temporal cluster analysis

Excess risk for GBS was identified, not confirmed
Tseng, 2013
USA60
VSD
(from April
2010 to January 2012)
  • Observed vs expected analysis

1 month to 2 yearsPCV13
Vaccine
Febrile seizures, encephalopathy, urticaria and angioneurotic oedema, asthma, anaphylaxis, thrombocytopenia, Kawasaki disease
  • Group sequential analysis (12 repeated tests were performed)

Excess risks for encephalopathy and Kawasaki disease identified but not confirmed
Nelson, 2013
USA49
VSD
(September 2008 to January 2011)
  • Prospective active surveillance with observed vs expected analysis

children aged 6 weeks to 2 yearsDTaP-IPV-Hib
(combination)
MAF, seizure, meningitis/encephalitis/myelitis, series no anaphylactic allergic reaction; not formally tested—anaphylaxis, GBS, invasive Hib disease, all hospitalisation
  • Group sequential testing, Poisson MaxSPRT (11 repeated tests were conducted)

  • Sub group end-study-analysis

No increased risks were identified
Weintraub, 2014
USA61
VSD
(April 2008 to March 2013)
  • Retrospective active surveillance with observed vs expected analysis

Infants ages of 4 and 34 weeksMonovalent Rotavirus vaccineIntussusception within 7 days following vaccination
  • Weekly sequential analysis, PMaxSPRT

  • Temporal cluster analysis

  • Exact logistic regression

Increased risk identified and confirmed, IRR=9.4 (1.4–103.8)
Kawai, 2014
USA39
VSD
(September 2012 to February 2013)
  • Retrospective active surveillance with

  • SCRI and observed vs expected analysis

6 months to 17 years and 2–49 yearsTIV, LAIV (first-dose vaccine)Seizures, GBS, encephalitis and anaphylaxis
  • Weekly sequential analysis, BMaxSPRT and PMaxSPRT

  • End of surveillance Logistic regression

No increased risks for any of the outcomes were identified
Daley, 2014
USA24
VSD
(January 2009 to September 2012)
  • Prospective active surveillance

  • Observed vs expected analysis

4– 6 years oldDTaP-IPV combinationMeningitis/encephalitis, seizures, stroke, GBS, Stevens–Johnson syndrome and anaphylaxis
  • Weekly sequential analysis, PMaxSPRT and conditional MaxSPRT

  • Posthoc analysis

No increased risks for any of the outcomes were identified
Li, 2016
USA48
VSD
(June 2013 to April 2015)
  • Retrospective active surveillance with

  • SCRI and observed vs expected analysis

≥6 months old ageFirst dose of IIV3, IIV4 and LAIV4)Acute disseminated encephalomyelitis, anaphylaxis,
Bell’s palsy, encephalitis, GBS, febrile seizures and transverse myelitis
  • Weekly sequential analysis using both BMaxSPRT and PMaxSPRT

  • End of surveillance analysis after all the data have been collected

Excess risks for febrile seizure were identified and confirmed after vaccination of—IIV3: IRR=5.25 (1.57–1.75) and IIV4: IRR=12.3 (2.5–58.9)
  • BMaxSPRT, binomial-based maximised sequential probability; CMaxSPRT, conditional maximised sequential probability; GBS, Guillain-Barré syndrome; IIV3, trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine; IIV4, quadrivalent inactivated influenza vaccine; IRR, incidence rate ratio; LAIV, live attenuated influenza vaccine; LAMIV, live attenuated monovalent influenza vaccine; MIV, monovalent influenza vaccine; MMRV, measles, mumps, rubella and varicella vaccine; PCV13, 13-valent pneumococcal vaccine; PMaxSPRT, Poisson-based maximised sequential probability test; TIV, trivalent influenza vaccine; VSD, vaccine safety data-link.