Metrics for capturing the accuracy of the weekly forecasting models
| Mean | Naïve | MA | EWMA | |||||
| 2 weeks | 3 weeks | 4 weeks | 2 weeks | 3 weeks | 4 weeks | |||
| MAD | 6.51 | 8.52 | 7.89 | 6.96 | 7.33 | 7.73 | 7.43 | 7.28 |
| MFE | −1.89 | −0.59 | −0.63 | −0.69 | −0.54 | −0.61 | −0.62 | −0.62 |
| MASE | 0.76 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.82 | 0.86 | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.85 |
Time periods represent window sizes for moving average calculations.
EWMA, exponentially weighted moving average; MA, moving average; MAD, mean absolute deviation; MASE, mean absolute scaled error; MFE, mean forecast error.