Table 1b

Sources used in resource mobilisation modelling

1IMF Economic Outlook*GDP, forecast, by country2017–20182017 US$
GDP real growth rates, forecast, by country2017–2022%
GGE as % of GDP, by country2000–2022%
GDP, forecast, by country2017–20182017 US$
2WHO NHA database†GGHE as % of GGE, by country2000–2015%
3IHME DAH database‡DAH, by country2000–20162017 US$
Est. % of DAH allocated to maternal health, by country2000–2016%
Est. % of DAH allocated to child health, by country2000–2016%
4Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network§Split of current health expenditure by source, LIC/LMIC2015%
Out-of-pocket/private prepaid growth forecasts, LIC/LMIC2015–2030% p.a.
5Results for Development Institute¶Elasticity of out-of-pocket payments with respect to other funding sources (above trend)%
6GFF Secretariat forecasts (for modelling purposes only)Assumed allocation of GFF Trust Fund resources, by country2017–20302017 US$
Assumed investment case start/end years, by country2017–20302017 US$
Ratio of GFF Trust Fund resources to other resources during investment case phaseRatio
7CEPA assumption based on discussion with GFF SecretariatAnnual decline in investment case funding post-investment case% p.a.
Adjustment to split of expenditure on priority RMNCAH-N interventions by source, reducing out-of-pocket share relative to general health expenditure%
8CEPA analysis of Avenir Health cost modellingAdjustment to domestic expenditure for infrastructure costs which may not be included in investment case%
Proportion of investment case resources assumed to be incremental (ie, available to fund scale-up)%
9CEPA analysis of WHO World Health Report 2010**Efficiency gains achievable by end of period%