Sources used in resource mobilisation modelling
| # | Source | Input | Period | Unit |
| 1 | IMF Economic Outlook* | GDP, forecast, by country | 2017–2018 | 2017 US$ |
| GDP real growth rates, forecast, by country | 2017–2022 | % | ||
| GGE as % of GDP, by country | 2000–2022 | % | ||
| GDP, forecast, by country | 2017–2018 | 2017 US$ | ||
| 2 | WHO NHA database† | GGHE as % of GGE, by country | 2000–2015 | % |
| 3 | IHME DAH database‡ | DAH, by country | 2000–2016 | 2017 US$ |
| Est. % of DAH allocated to maternal health, by country | 2000–2016 | % | ||
| Est. % of DAH allocated to child health, by country | 2000–2016 | % | ||
| 4 | Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network§ | Split of current health expenditure by source, LIC/LMIC | 2015 | % |
| Out-of-pocket/private prepaid growth forecasts, LIC/LMIC | 2015–2030 | % p.a. | ||
| 5 | Results for Development Institute¶ | Elasticity of out-of-pocket payments with respect to other funding sources (above trend) | – | % |
| 6 | GFF Secretariat forecasts (for modelling purposes only) | Assumed allocation of GFF Trust Fund resources, by country | 2017–2030 | 2017 US$ |
| Assumed investment case start/end years, by country | 2017–2030 | 2017 US$ | ||
| Ratio of GFF Trust Fund resources to other resources during investment case phase | – | Ratio | ||
| 7 | CEPA assumption based on discussion with GFF Secretariat | Annual decline in investment case funding post-investment case | – | % p.a. |
| Adjustment to split of expenditure on priority RMNCAH-N interventions by source, reducing out-of-pocket share relative to general health expenditure | – | % | ||
| 8 | CEPA analysis of Avenir Health cost modelling | Adjustment to domestic expenditure for infrastructure costs which may not be included in investment case | – | % |
| Proportion of investment case resources assumed to be incremental (ie, available to fund scale-up) | – | % | ||
| 9 | CEPA analysis of WHO World Health Report 2010** | Efficiency gains achievable by end of period | – | % |
‡http://ghdx.healthdata.org/record/development-assistance-health-database-1990-2017.
¶http://www.r4d.org/wp-content/uploads/THF-The-health-financing-transition.pdf.
IMF, International Monetary Fund; National Health Accounts; DAH, development assistance for health; GDP, gross domestic product; GFF, Global Financing Facility; GGHE, General Government Health Expenditure; GGE, General Government Expenditure; LIC, low-income countries; LMIC, low-income and middle-income countries; RMNCAH-N,Reproductive, Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health and Nutrition.