Probability (n=100,000 trials from Monte Carlo simulations) that country groups achieve specific financial risk protection targets of estimated incidence of CHE by 2040. Financial risk protection targets are: CHE <0.50%; CHE <1.00%; CHE <1.50%; and CHE <2.00%.
| CHE <0.50% | CHE <1.00% | CHE <1.50% | CHE <2.00% | |
| Income group | ||||
| Low income | 0.01 | 0.11 | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| Lower middle income | 0.09 | 0.39 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| Upper middle income | 0.31 | 0.74 | 0.90 | 0.96 |
CHE, catastrophic health expenditure.