Table 2

Multivariate adjusted odds ratio (AOR) and 95% credible interval (CrI) of the effect of covariates on wasting and stunting among children aged 6–59 months in Somalia. The estimates were derived from two models: model A that did not account for the effect of conflict as covariate model B that accounted for the effect of recent and longer term conflict. Values in bold typeface are those that do not contain the value 1 in their 95% CrI and were considered statistically significant

CorrelatesWastingStunting
Model A not controlling for the effect of conflictModel B controlling for the effect of recent and longer term conflictModel A not controlling for the effect of conflictModel B controlling for the effect of recent and longer term conflict
ORCrIORCrIORCrIORCrI
Conflict data
Recent conflict
(within 3 months)
1.37 (1.33 to 1.42) 1.21 (1.15 to 1.28)
Longer term conflict
(3–12 months ago)
1.76 (1.71 to 1.81) 1.88 (1.83 to 1.94)
Livelihood
(agro-pastoral as reference)
Pastoral 0.94 (0.91 to 0.97) 0.93 (0.91 to 0.96) 0.60 (0.41 to 0.87) 0.60 (0.41 to 0.87)

Riverine 1.13 (1.09 to 1.17) 1.17 (1.13 to 1.21) 1.44 (1.04 to 1.99) 1.50 (1.45 to 1.55)

Urban0.98(0.94 to 1.02)0.98(0.93 to 1.04)0.98(0.93 to 1.04) 0.83 (0.79 to 0.88)

IDP 1.37 (1.34 to 1.41) 1.62 (1.54 to 1.70) 1.91 (1.05 to 3.48) 2.23 (2.07 to 2.40)
Child data
 Vitamin A supplementation 0.82 (0.81 to 0.84) 0.89 (0.87 to 0.91) 1.10(0.92 to 1.31)0.90(0.76 to 1.08)
 Measles vaccination0.87(0.71 to 1.05) 0.86 (0.84 to 0.88) 0.87(0.73 to 1.04) 0.88 (0.84 to 0.91)
 Polio vaccination 0.89 (0.87 to 0.91) 0.96 (0.94 to 0.98) 0.91 (0.87 to 0.94) 0.95 (0.93 to 0.97)
 Diarrhoea 1.38 (1.16 to 1.64) 1.37 (1.15 to 1.63) 1.43 (1.21 to 1.68) 1.42 (1.34 to 1.50)
 Acute respiratory infection 1.27 (1.07 to 1.50) 1.27 (1.07 to 1.50) 1.12 (1.08 to 1.16) 1.13 (1.09 to 1.17)
 Febrile Illness 1.29 (1.08 to 1.53) 1.28 (1.08 to 1.52) 1.16 (1.12 to 1.20) 1.16 (1.12 to 1.21)
 Suspected measles1.13(0.98 to 1.32)1.13(0.98 to 1.31)1.02(0.99 to 1.04)1.02(0.78 to 1.34)
 Sex of the child (female) 0.72 (0.63 to 0.83) 0.72 (0.63 to 0.84) 0.75 (0.66 to 0.86) 0.75 (0.66 to 0.86)
 Chid age (<12 reference)12–<24 months 0.57 (0.53 to 0.61) 0.57 (0.44 to 0.74) 3.36 (3.27 to 3.46) 3.36 (2.53 to 4.47)

 24–59 months 0.69 (0.55 to 0.87) 0.69 (0.55 to 0.87) 2.34 (2.28 to 2.41) 2.34 (1.79 to 3.07)
Household data
 Household size 1.04 (1.01 to 1.08) 1.10 (1.06 to 1.13) 1.04 (1.01 to 1.08) 1.04 (1.00 to 1.07)
 Number of under-5 1.07 (1.02 to 1.13) 1.03 (1.00 to 1.06) 1.04 (1.02 to 1.07) 1.03 (1.01 to 1.06)
 Female household head1.06(0.89 to 1.28)1.08(0.90 to 1.30) 1.22 (1.02 to 1.45) 1.22 (1.02 to 1.46)
 Age of the mother1.00(0.99 to 1.01) 1.04 (1.03 to 1.04) 1.00(0.99 to 1.01)1.00(0.99 to 1.01)
 MUAC of mother0.99(0.98 to 1.00) 0.89 (0.88 to 0.90) 0.98 (0.97 to 0.98) 0.97 (0.94 to 0.99)
Food and nutrition
 Carbohydrate 0.90 (0.87 to 0.93) 0.89 (0.87 to 0.91) 0.95 (0.92 to 0.98) 0.95 (0.92 to 0.98)
 Protein 0.70 (0.68 to 0.72) 0.87 (0.84 to 0.89) 0.94 (0.91 to 0.96) 0.94 (0.91 to 0.97)
 Fats1.01(0.81 to 1.25) 0.96 (0.94 to 0.98) 0.96(0.79 to 1.17) 0.95 (0.93 to 0.97)
 Fruits and vegetables0.94(0.82 to 1.08)0.94(0.82 to 1.08)0.98(0.95 to 1.01)0.98(0.87 to 1.11)
Climatic/environmental data
 Season (Deyr as reference) Gu 0.85 (0.83 to 0.87) 0.81 (0.79 to 0.83) 0.80(0.62 to 1.04)0.92(0.85 to 1.01)

 Hagaa 1.12 (1.08 to 1.16) 1.11 (1.07 to 1.14) 1.31 (1.25 to 1.37) 1.09 (1.03 to 1.15)

 Jilaal 1.31 (1.27 to 1.36) 1.33 (1.30 to 1.37) 1.03 (1.01 to 1.06) 1.10 (1.07 to 1.13)

 Distance to water1.00(1.00 to 1.00)1.00(1.00 to 1.00)1.00(1.00 to 1.00)1.00(1.00 to 1.00)
 Enhanced vegetation index (EVI) 0.42 (0.12 to 1.43) 0.39 (0.35 to 0.45) 0.45 (0.43 to 0.46) 0.40 (0.39 to 0.41)
 Rainfall1.00(0.99 to 1.01) 0.83 (0.83 to 0.84) 0.99(0.98 to 1.00) 0.86 (0.85 to 0.87)
 Temperature 1.12 (1.08 to 1.16) 1.12 (1.08 to 1.16) 1.34 (1.30 to 1.38) 1.32 (1.29 to 1.36)
 Urbanisation0.98(0.94 to 1.02) 0.82 (0.79 to 0.86) 1.02(0.98 to 1.07) 0.91 (0.89 to 0.93)
Interaction terms
 Carbohydrate: EVI 1.10 (1.02 to 1.19) 2.54(0.80 to 8.07)
 Carbohydrate: precipitation1.00(1.00 to 1.01)1.00(1.00 to 1.01)
 Protein: EVI1.22(0.70 to 2.12)1.23(0.34 to 4.41)
 Protein: precipitation1.00(1.00 to 1.00)1.00(1.00 to 1.01)
 Recent conflict: carbohydrate0.96(0.70 to 1.33)0.71(0.35 to 1.43)
 Recent conflict: protein0.67(0.17 to 2.72)0.51(0.21 to 1.25)
 Recent conflict: EVI1.37(0.69 to 2.71)2.17(0.70 to 6.73)
 Recent conflict: precipitation 1.15 (1.02 to 1.30) 1.22 (1.08 to 1.37)
 Longer term conflict: carbohydrate0.78(0.30 to 2.00)0.79(0.20 to 3.14)
 Longer term conflict: protein0.92(0.39 to 2.21)0.80(0.39 to 1.65)
 Longer term conflict: EVI 1.91 (1.79 to 2.04) 1.98 (1.67 to 2.34)
 Longer term conflict: precipitation0.98(0.95 to 1.01) 0.96 (0.93 to 0.99)
 EVI: temperature 0.19 (0.06 to 0.55) 0.28 (0.09 to 0.90)
  • CRI, credible interval; IDP, internally displaced persons; MUAC, mid-upper arm circumference.