Results
Our final data consisted of responses obtained from 45 in-depth interviews. The list of key respondents is in table 4. In the overall sample, we had 6 central-level government officials, 22 provincial-level and local-level officials, 12 producers, wholesale suppliers, or retailers of tobacco and alcohol products, and 5 consumers or civil society representatives.
In this section, we present our results under four areas: (1) stakeholder views (including support for and against health taxes); (2) perceived barriers and opportunities for raising health taxes; (3) views on the use of health taxes to address the rising incidence of NCDs and (4) recommendations for an effective mobilisation of higher health taxes. Note that the codes next to the quotes refer to the stakeholder category. For example, ‘[C32]’ means that the comment was made by a producer, wholesale supplier, or a retailer of either alcohol or tobacco industries.
Stakeholders’ views and support for and against health taxes
There is limited support among the stakeholders for health taxes in Nepal. The most prominent opposition to health taxes comes from producers of alcohol and tobacco products. One of the most commonly cited concern against higher taxes on these products was a possible rise in illicit trade (ie, products moving from India to Nepal illegally), as the following comment from a wholesale supplier of tobacco illustrates:
Taxing [in Nepal] just means more will come from India. Right now, it has been 6 months that the government has not allowed foreign alcohol to Nepal, but go to any dealer and you will find foreign alcohols easily. The same thing will happen. [C16]
Another concern cited was that health taxes would worsen inequality. One tobacco industry respondent said that ‘We are very honest and tell people that smoking is bad for health. But daily-wage labourers cannot work without smoking. They are addicted. When tax increases, these poor people have to pay more.’ [C18]
Industry respondents put forward a myriad of other arguments for why higher taxes should not be imposed on cigarettes and alcohol. They even questioned the validity of evidence presented by proponents of higher taxes, as the following comment from a cigarette company respondent shows:
During any budget debates, the government side and other anti-cigarettes always look at reports and studies of western countries and try to implement that here. But our attitude, education, culture, lifestyle is different, so it doesn’t make sense that they look at the western policies and try to impose that here in Nepal—this just further creates disparities and a rift from making policies to having the impact we intend. [C32]
Pointing to other factors that drive consumption of tobacco was a recurring theme among tobacco industry respondents, as the following comment illustrates:
We shouldn’t just look at one aspect and expect to understand the complex dynamics and interaction amongst the various factors that exist around cigarette consumption—just looking at the price increase through tax increase and consumption going down is invalid and inappropriate and misguided. [C21]
One supplier pointed to anecdotal evidence on the relative inelasticity of consumption of harmful products to price changes to support their argument on why health taxes would be ineffective. ‘During COVID-19, prices of cigarettes increased from Rs 5 (3 US cents) to Rs 8 (6 US cents). This did not affect (the) sale of cigarettes at all. People were willing to pay Rs 8 for the cigarettes for which they were paying only Rs 5.” [C15] Another supplier said, ‘These are not basic needs. People consume despite knowing the risks, so higher prices will not make them drink or smoke less.’ [C16]
Another supplier went as far as to suggest that alcohol and tobacco industries were discriminated against. They said, ‘We are judged and discriminated even though we pay more taxes. Why should we pay more tax than others?’ [C27]
Several industry representatives said that, instead of trying to raise taxes on alcohol and tobacco products that are already being regulated, the government should try to regulate low-end products that they said are potentially more harmful and often consumed by poorer individuals. As one alcohol industry respondent put it, ‘Branding home-produced alcohol can make it easier for the government to regulate them.’ [C38]
Strikingly, even the federal government officials seem to believe that reducing consumption of harmful products through higher taxes would affect the economy adversely, at least in the near term. One government official said, ‘Long term benefits would be higher. In the short term, it would cause an economic crisis in the country.’ [A13]
Many local government officials and consumers echoed the concerns expressed by suppliers, especially with regard to disproportionately higher adverse effects on the poor. For example, one local government official said that ‘price increase [would] induce low-income individuals to switch to lower quality products, further harming their health. Rich people, instead, can continue to afford the good-quality products.’ [B25]
Views on the potential of health taxes for curbing NCDs
Many respondents understood the potential adverse effects of consuming alcohol and tobacco on health, and that ‘health hazards can be prevented by consuming less of these products.’ [B25]
However, nearly all respondents opined that reducing the consumption of alcohol and tobacco through health taxes alone—in a manner that would reduce NCDs—would be difficult. The reasons the respondents provided were as follows. First, substitutes are easily available. For example, ‘If price of cigarette increases because of taxes, individuals can switch to bidis, which are cheaper.’ [C30] Similarly, ‘if the price of rajanigandha [a tobacco product] increases, people can shift to bhola [another tobacco product].’ [B22]
Second, the respondents said that the consumption of alcohol and tobacco is often triggered and maintained by social stressors, often leading to addiction. ‘Because of addiction, people will consume cigarette and alcohol no matter what.’ [C27] They said that alternative measures, such as ‘banning the consumption of these products in certain spaces’ and providing ‘additional education on the risks of consumption’ [C15], would be needed to tackle the factors underlying persistent consumption.
Finally, several respondents—representing all stakeholder groups—pointed to culture as a reason for drinking and smoking. As one local government officials put it, ‘culture plays a major role in the consumption of alcohol. For example, in Newar communities, it is common to have alcohol in almost every auspicious occasion as sagun. In Tamang communities, when infants cry and the parents need to go to work, the infants are fed food and a small amount of alcohol to get them to sleep.’ [B29] A consumer said that ‘In western Nepal, women smoke bidi in groups during their afternoon break from household chores.’ [D36] The researchers encountered at least one case of an elementary school child carrying home-made alcohol to school for afternoon snack.
Perceived barriers and opportunities for health taxes
Respondents in the study pointed out a number of potential barriers to raising health taxes. The following barriers were mentioned:
Influence of industries: Federal and local government officials identified resistance from powerful tobacco and alcohol industries as a major challenge to raising health taxes. They mentioned that intimate relations exist between the political parties and tobacco and alcohol industries and that political parties receive funds from the industries to finance their political activities. As one federal government official put it, ‘When a political leader says we are going to need election expenses, giving Rs. 10 crores [approximately, 77 000 US Dollars] at once is not a big deal for these industries.’ [A12]
Government officials from all levels mentioned that industries employ a myriad of techniques to influence policy-making, including under the pretext of corporate social responsibility (CSR). The techniques include supporting social causes (e.g., sporting events and relief efforts during natural disasters) and promoting their products at these events, and leveraging civil society leaders, parliamentarians, and lawyers. One respondent mentioned that tobacco and alcohol industries were not allowed to use money in CSR, but found ways to promote their products and create public support towards them nonetheless: ‘Tobacco and alcohol industries are not allowed to use money in CSR. It is against the policy. But they are using it. For example, during COVID, they helped in distributing ventilators when [local governments] were short in budget and promoted their products using company logos. They carried banners with their company’s name and logo when distributing relief materials during the earthquake, too.’ [A11]
Spreading misinformation and creating fear was also mentioned as a common tactic used by industries. One civil society representative said, ‘Industry people spread rumour that the economy would collapse without their industries and our country will be like Sri Lanka. They challenge the government and give examples of individuals who consume cigarettes and have lived long, implying that tobacco and alcohol are not harmful.’ [D36]
Government’s capacity to implement health taxes
Many respondents—representing all stakeholder groups—expressed concerns about the government’s ability to implement higher taxes, even if the taxes were raised on paper. They pointed to a number of context-specific challenges. The first challenge was the government’s ability to communicate the changes in policy of any kind with relevant stakeholders. For example, one local government official said that there were guidelines stating that alcohol should be sold only between 6 and 9 pm, but ‘no alcohol business [knew] about it’ [B18] and stores were found to be open ‘when [they] went for monitoring at 2 pm in the afternoon. The shopkeeper did not know about the guidelines at all.’ [B18]
The second challenge was the government’s capacity to enforce laws, including penalising those who exploit loopholes. As one local official put it, ‘In Nepal, making laws and regulations is not a problem, but implementing them is a major challenge. Industries can easily trick the tax system. For example, if taxes on one product go up, they can introduce a product with a different name but with the same ingredient to avoid paying taxes.’ [B24]
A final implementation challenge that respondents identified relates to lack of clear mechanisms for coordination and communication between different levels of government in the new federal setup. For example, one federal government officials said, ‘How to regulate cigarette and gutka shops is already determined by the central government. However, enforcement of these guidelines is the prerogative of the local governments.’ [A14] One local official suggested that it would be more effective for the central government to regulate alcohol and tobacco markets—and not just set the excise duty on these products—as these ‘need to be regularly monitored’ and so that non-tax policies central to addressing NCDs are ‘similar in all places within the country.’ [B28]
Cumbersome tax collection system
Suppliers of alcohol and tobacco products complained about the complex and cumbersome tax system. They pointed to the high number of the types of taxes and argued that the procedures for paying taxes were complex, including on tobacco and alcohol products. As one producer put it, ‘One of the reasons many people do not pay taxes is that they do not know where to go and what procedures to follow in order to pay the taxes.’ [C34]
A few suppliers said that the current tax system was unfair as it did not reward regular payers or penalise those who tried to avoid taxes. In one respondent’s words, ‘Those who pay taxes regularly should get rebates as rewards. Otherwise, there is no incentive for us to keep paying taxes when others who do not pay the taxes do not face any penalty.’ [C31]
The only opportunity for the adoption of higher health taxes that was mentioned by the respondents—of all stakeholder categories— were recent changes in the tax collection system, particularly digitisation and one-door policy for paying taxes, although these changes are not specific to taxes on alcohol and tobacco products. The respondents suggested expanding online system for paying taxes to rural areas and to all forms of taxes. The following three comments are illustrative of the respondents’ views on this area.
Many things have been digitized—I feel like it is heading in the right direction. It should be one door for paying tax—where people can easily pay tax so it is not complicated. [C35]
All our tax collection is done online and we have online transparency in taxes. [B34]
It would be easier if we could have this system in other rural places across all sectors (property tax, utility taxes etc) so that they wouldn’t have to physically go to pay taxes as well. [B18]
Opposition from consumers
Given that enforcing higher health taxes can be viewed by opponents of such taxes as curtailing individual freedom, we asked the respondents if consumers of tobacco and alcohol products can be potential barriers. Consumers and government officials indicated that direct opposition from consumers is unlikely but pointed to opposition from political leaders for fear of losing votes. For example, one government official said that, unlike in the cases of hikes in petrol and diesel prices—a common occurrence in Nepal—‘There [would] not be any direct opposition to higher prices of harmful products.’ [A13] However, as one civil society representative indicated, ‘There might be resentment among the consumers, triggering an opposition from politicians who rely on these consumers for votes.’ [D15]
Recommendations and the way forward
Respondents were asked what the government should do in order to be able to raise taxes on alcohol and tobacco products and make health taxes a more effective tool for curbing NCDs. A number of insights emerged, which warrant further research and analysis.
One federal government official emphasised that politicians and bureaucrats need to be secretive about potential increases in health taxes during the preparation of the annual budget (when tax rates are determined). The official said that ‘If the plans to raise health taxes are known beforehand, industries attempt to derail the efforts or hoard the products illegally to create artificial shortages’ [A11]. ‘While making the budget, we need to maintain certain secrecy.’ [A11]
Respondents provided several suggestions on the current earmarking of health taxes for NCDs. One local government official asked for greater transparency from the federal government. As they put it, ‘The government currently allocates 400 million rupees [308 000 US dollars] annually for NCD-related programmes, but on what basis? The figure should be transparent so consumers also feel ownership of the taxes.’ [B19] Several local officials and consumers suggested that the amount allocated to NCDs should be a fixed percentage of the revenue raised through health taxes—thus adjusted each year—and not a flat amount. That would enable consumers to see that a proportion of their taxes is being spent for their benefit, thus raising ownership of the taxes. A few local government officials suggested that health taxes should be collected and disbursed at the local level by local governments to ensure greater transparency. They further suggested that the funding should be used for ‘preventive care on NCDs, not on treatment’ [B22].
Several respondents pointed to the need to strengthen the enforcement of existing laws on alcohol and tobacco products. However, many of the suggestions the respondents provided on curbing NCDs related to non-tax interventions. Respondents were convinced that one of the factors driving the consumption of alcohol and tobacco products is the availability of these products. Suggestions on reducing access ranged from ‘setting specific time and place for purchase and consumption’ [B21] to ‘limiting the number of stores that can sell these products’ [D10], such as allowing only ‘5 authorised shops in one ward’. [D10, B21] Other suggestions included stricter screening of consumers for ‘age and pregnancy, restricting consumption in public spaces, and counselling and awareness programmes, including those targeted to individuals with addiction to drinking and smoking.’ [C30]