Introduction: the promise of adaptive trial designs
Public health emergencies caused by new or re-emerging infectious diseases demand urgent answers regarding effective medical countermeasures. In past pandemics, standard trial designs proved unable to produce results in time to support effective response.1 Adaptive platform trials, using a master protocol across numerous sites, multiple intervention arms and adaptive methodologies, offer a promising design solution. Several such trials, including RECOVERY, Solidarity, PRINCIPLE and REMAP-CAP, played a significant role in the global research response to COVID-19. Their size and their flexible ability to add and remove arms in response to emerging information helped generate rapid evidence on the effectiveness of both repurposed and novel interventions for COVID-19, and saved many lives. Importantly, they also generated rapid evidence to show some widely-used interventions were not effective, limiting harm to patients and unnecessary costs to health systems.2
Emergency preparedness, in the form of well-established networks able to pivot to emergency research, was essential to the success of these trials. Substantial investments in these networks before the COVID-19 pandemic paid significant dividends. Research teams with years of experience working together across multiple sites and countries had substantial advantages over those obliged to start from scratch.
Investment in ‘ethical preparedness’ similarly paid dividends, with some countries developing emergency guidelines and procedures in light of their experiences with Ebola and Zika.3 WHO,4 PAHO5 and the research network ALERRT,6 among others, supported dialogue and produced ethics guidance, alongside decades of investment by the National Institutes of Health Fogarty International Center supporting ethics capacity strengthening in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). This provided a sound basis for rapid ethical support for COVID-19 researchers: WHO produced timely guidance on many ethically challenging aspects of COVID-19 research and provided valued opportunities to share knowledge and experience through the Epidemics Ethics platform.7