Introduction
Diabetes mellitus (hereafter diabetes) is a growing threat to global health with significant mortality and morbidity related to myriads of non-communicable and communicable disease consequences. In 2015, diabetes afflicted ~415 million people globally and this is predicted to reach 642 million by 2040, equivalent to 1 in 10 adults.1 The direct annual global cost of diabetes is estimated at US$827 billion.2
In the USA, approximately four in five adults with diabetes rely on antidiabetic medicines to control their glucose levels.3 Insulin is required for type 1 diabetes treatment, and is also used widely for advanced type 2 diabetes. In 2015, insulin was within the top 10 best-selling medications globally (in terms of number of prescriptions and sales value).4 5 It is estimated that globally ~100 million people need insulin.6 Type 2 diabetes treatment involves lifestyle change encouragement, but antidiabetic medicines are often required for the control of hyperglycaemia and prevention of long-term complications.1 7 8 Oral antidiabetic sale in 2016 was estimated to reach close to US$20 billion.9 There has also been a surge in innovative expensive oral therapies such as gliptins.
There are key public health issues with cost and access to antidiabetic medicines, especially insulin,5 and to specialised diabetes care. With huge price variation between countries and increasing demand, insulin and new oral antidiabetic medicines are likely to be attractive targets for falsification and are at risk of substandard production.10 High prices of some antidiabetics may prompt patients to look for more affordable options, including illegitimate sources such as unregistered physical and internet pharmacies.11
Nearly 60% of the global costs of diabetes are borne by low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), with substantial treatment costs paid out-of-pocket and insufficient medicines regulation. This limits access and thus risks use of poor quality medical products, exacerbating financial hardship and impairing peoples’ lives and productivity.12
Patients with diabetes often need to check their blood glucose concentration multiple times per day using strip-based hand-held glucose meters. The cost for such self-monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG) can account for approximately one-third of the total cost of consumables, including insulin and needles, for type 1 diabetes management.13 This expense has prompted both falsification of glucose strips and reselling of secondhand unused glucose strips at reduced price.10 14 15 In 2008, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the American Diabetes Association warned against using resold strips as they may give incorrect results.14 16
Due to their vital role in diabetes management, poor quality antidiabetic medicines and SMBG supplies will inevitably have adverse health impacts for patients, both short and long term. Low active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) content and, for oral preparations impaired gastrointestinal dissolution, will increase the incidence of macrovascular and microvascular complications due to compromised glucose control, and hence increase individual and societal economic costs.17–19 High API content may also bring grim immediate consequences. Deaths have been linked to falsified antidiabetic medicines in China containing dangerously high amounts of the oral antidiabetic agent glibenclamide.20 21 Poor quality SMBG supplies will impair patients with diabetes from receiving correct medication doses, potentially causing life-threatening hypoglycaemia, hyperglycaemia and long-term consequences. Poor quality antidiabetics and SMBG supplies will also decrease faith in the health system, confuse patient and clinical decision-making and risk use of unapproved treatments.
The circulation of poor quality medicines and medical products, whether falsified, substandard or degraded, is a major global public health problem. No country is immune.22–28 A recent WHO report suggested that in LMICs, ~10.5% of medicine samples (mainly anti-infectives) analysed were substandard or falsified (SorF).28 Although medical product regulatory systems are usually reliable and functional in high-income countries, poor quality medicines and medical devices have been identified.11 15 27 29 The extent of the problem seems more pronounced in financially poor countries where regulatory systems are often weak.24 26 27 30 Rising concern about the consequences of poor quality medicines over the last decade has focused on anti-infectives.31 However, there is growing awareness of this issue for chronic non-communicable diseases, for example, a recent survey described that 16.3% of cardiovascular medicines sampled in ten sub-Saharan African countries were poor quality.32 These will have significant public health impact and if poor quality diabetes medical products are also prevalent they will have an additive global toll on health. The recent WHO report stated that seven member states reported 11 substandard and falsified (SF) diabetes medicines between 2013 and 2017 but details are not given.28 As there is no global understanding of the epidemiology of poor quality medical products for diabetes, we reviewed the available evidence and discuss the potential impact for patients and society.