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Outbreak of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis on Daru Island

El objetivo del estudio fue conocer la tendencia de las variables relacionadas con la tuberculosis (TB) en España a partir del registro del Programa Integrado de Investigación en Tuberculosis (PII-TB) de la Sociedad Española de Neumología y Cirugía Torácica (SEPAR) y evaluar el PII-TB mediante indicadores relacionados con sus objetivos científicos.

Estudio transversal multicéntrico de base poblacional de casos nuevos de TB registrados prospectivamente por el PII-TB entre 2006 y 2016. La tendencia temporal de variables cuantitativas se realizó mediante un modelo de regresión lineal y las cualitativas mediante la prueba de χ² de tendencia lineal.

Se analizaron 6.892 casos de TB con una mediana anual de 531. La tendencia general fue significativamente decreciente en mujeres, inmigrantes, privados de libertad y en tratados inicialmente con 3 fármacos. Se incrementaron significativamente la tendencia de grupos de 40 -50 años y > 50 años, primera atención por especialista de zona, hospitalización, retraso diagnóstico, localización diseminada y extrapulmonar única, cultivo (+), realización de antibiogramas, resistencia a fármacos, tratamiento directamente observado, prolongación del tratamiento y muerte por otra causa. Los objetivos científicos del PII-TB que incrementaron significativamente fueron las publicaciones alcanzando un máximo de 8 en 2016 y con un factor de impacto total de 49,664, y también mejoraron los proyectos iniciados anualmente, presentaciones en congresos y las tesis o tesinas.

El PII-TB proporciona información relevante sobre la TB y sus factores asociados en España. Se ha formado un amplio equipo de investigadores y se han detectado aspectos científicos positivos y otros mejorables.

The objective of the study was to determine the trend of variables related to tuberculosis (TB) from the Integrated Tuberculosis Research Program (PII-TB) registry of the Spanish Society of Pulmonology and Thoracic Surgery (SEPAR), and to evaluate the PII-TB according to indicators related to its scientific objectives.

Cross-sectional, population-based, multicenter study of new TB cases prospectively registered in the PII-TB between 2006 and 2016. The time trend of quantitative variables was calculated using a lineal regression model, and qualitative variables using the χy test for lineal trend.

A total of 6,892 cases with an annual median of 531 were analyzed. Overall, a significant downward trend was observed in women, immigrants, prisoners, and patients initially treated with 3 drugs. Significant upward trends were observed in patients aged 40-50 and > 50 years, first visit conducted by a specialist, hospitalization, diagnostic delay, disseminated disease and single extrapulmonary location, culture(+), sensitivity testing performed, drug resistance, directly observed treatment, prolonged treatment, and death from another cause. The scientific objectives of the PII-TB that showed a significant upward trend were publications, which reached a maximum of 8 in 2016 with a total impact factor of 49,664, numbers of projects initiated annually, presentations at conferences, and theses.

PII-TB provides relevant information on TB and its associated factors in Spain. A large team of researchers has been created; some scientific aspects of the registry were positive, while others could have been improved.

The Ebola virus has spread across several Western Africa countries, adding a significant financial burden to their health systems and economies. In this article the experience with Ebola is reviewed, and economic challenges and policy recommendations are discussed to help curb the impact of other diseases in the future. The West African Ebola virus disease epidemic started in resource-constrained settings and caused thousands of fatalities during the last epidemic. Nevertheless, given population mobility, international travel, and an increasingly globalized economy, it has the potential to re-occur and evolve into a global pandemic. Struggling health systems in West African countries hinder the ability to reduce the causes and effects of the Ebola epidemic. The lessons learned include the need for strengthening health systems, mainly primary care systems, expedited access to treatments and vaccines to treat the Ebola virus disease, guidance on safety, efficacy, and regulatory standards for such treatments, and ensuring that research and development efforts are directed toward existing needs. Other lessons include adopting policies that allow for better flow of relief, averting the adverse impact of strong quarantine policy that includes exaggerating the aversion behavior by alarming trade and business partners providing financial support to strengthen growth in the affected fragile economies by the Ebola outbreak. Curbing the impact of future Ebola epidemics, or comparable diseases, requires increased long-term investments in health system strengthening, better collaboration between different international organizations, more funding for research and development efforts aimed at developing vaccines and treatments, and tools to detect, treat, and prevent future epidemics.

Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is a threat to tuberculosis (TB) control. To guide TB control, it is essential to understand the extent to which and the circumstances in which MDR-TB will replace drug-susceptible TB (DS-TB) as the dominant phenotype. The issue was examined by assessing evidence from genomics, pharmacokinetics, and epidemiology studies. This evidence was then synthesized into a mathematical model.

This model considers two TB strains, one with and one without an MDR phenotype. It was considered that intrinsic transmissibility may be different between the two strains, as may the control response including the detection, treatment failure, and default rates. The outcomes were explored in terms of the incidence of MDR-TB and time until MDR-TB surpasses DS-TB as the dominant strain.

The ability of MDR-TB to dominate DS-TB was highly sensitive to the relative transmissibility of the resistant strain; however, MDR-TB could dominate even when its transmissibility was modestly reduced (to between 50% and 100% as transmissible as the DS-TB strain). This model suggests that it may take decades or more for strain replacement to occur. It was also found that while the amplification of resistance is the early cause of MDR-TB, this will rapidly give way to person-to-person transmission.