Indicators | Proportions | Change in proportions | Model (2014) | U5MR by change in proportions | |||||
1993 | 2003 | 2014 | 2014–2003 | 2014–1993 | Coef. | P values | 2014–2003 | 2014–1993 | |
Intermediate level factors | |||||||||
Maternal education (ref: secondary and above) | |||||||||
No formal education | 0.1917 | 0.1537 | 0.1179 | −0.0358 | −0.0738 | 0.339 | 0.028 | −0.0121 | −0.0250 |
Incomplete primary | 0.3948 | 0.3642 | 0.2853 | −0.0789 | −0.1095 | 0.344 | 0.006 | −0.0271 | −0.0376 |
Primary | 0.3904 | 0.3605 | 0.3796 | 0.0191 | −0.0108 | 0.124 | 0.291 | ||
Wealth index (ref: richest) | |||||||||
Poorest | 0.2289 | 0.2474 | 0.238 | −0.0094 | 0.0091 | 0.208 | 0.191 | ||
Poorer | 0.2134 | 0.2082 | 0.2038 | −0.0044 | −0.0096 | 0.277 | 0.073 | −0.0012 | −0.0027 |
Middle | 0.1962 | 0.1899 | 0.1802 | −0.0097 | −0.0160 | 0.358 | 0.018 | −0.0035 | −0.0057 |
Richer | 0.1939 | 0.1692 | 0.1765 | 0.0073 | −0.0174 | 0.225 | 0.121 | 0.0016 | −0.0039 |
Type of place of residence (ref: urban) | |||||||||
Rural | 0.8728 | 0.8127 | 0.641 | −0.1717 | −0.2318 | −0.143 | 0.113 | 0.0246 | 0.0332 |
Region (ref: Nairobi) | |||||||||
Central | 0.1147 | 0.1069 | 0.0918 | −0.0151 | −0.0229 | −0.427 | 0.07 | 0.0065 | 0.0098 |
Coast | 0.0893 | 0.0836 | 0.1034 | 0.0198 | 0.0141 | −0.545 | 0.014 | −0.0108 | −0.0077 |
Eastern | 0.2017 | 0.1551 | 0.1187 | −0.0364 | −0.0830 | −0.759 | 0.001 | 0.0276 | 0.0630 |
Nyanza | 0.1669 | 0.1639 | 0.1426 | −0.0213 | −0.0243 | −0.274 | 0.209 | 0.0059 | 0.0067 |
Rift Valley | 0.2167 | 0.2685 | 0.2902 | 0.0217 | 0.0735 | −0.823 | 0 | −0.0179 | −0.0605 |
Western | 0.1651 | 0.1271 | 0.1153 | −0.0118 | −0.0498 | −0.561 | 0.016 | 0.0066 | 0.0280 |
North Eastern | – | 0.0296 | 0.0332 | 0.0036 | −0.881 | 0.001 | −0.0032 | 0.0000 | |
Sum | −0.0029 | −0.0024 | |||||||
exp(sum)=rel. risk | 0.9971 | 0.9976 | |||||||
Proximal level factors | |||||||||
Improved sanitation facility (ref: yes) | |||||||||
No | 0.1219 | 0.1397 | 0.2092 | 0.0695 | 0.0873 | 0.423 | 0.109 | 0.0294 | 0.0369 |
Fertility (ref: 1–2 children) | |||||||||
3–4 | 0.281 | 0.3259 | 0.3156 | −0.0103 | 0.0346 | 0.842 | 0 | −0.0087 | 0.0291 |
≥5 | 0.4196 | 0.3279 | 0.2638 | −0.0641 | −0.1558 | 0.398 | 0.092 | −0.0255 | −0.0620 |
Contraceptive use (ref: yes) | |||||||||
No | 0.7092 | 0.6775 | 0.7397 | 0.0622 | 0.0305 | −0.621 | 0.001 | −0.0386 | −0.0189 |
ANC visits (ref: 4+ visits) | |||||||||
No ANC | 0.0514 | 0.122 | 0.0529 | −0.0691 | 0.0015 | 0.963 | 0.002 | −0.0666 | 0.0014 |
<4 visits | 0.3972 | 0.4532 | 0.5088 | 0.0556 | 0.1116 | 0.0410 | 0.838 | ||
Early initiation of breast feeding (ref: <1 hour) | |||||||||
>1 hour | 0.384 | 0.417 | 0.273 | −0.1440 | −0.1110 | 1.094 | 0 | −0.1576 | −0.1215 |
Size at birth (ref: average) | |||||||||
Small/very small | 0.1576 | 0.1637 | 0.1516 | −0.0121 | −0.0060 | 0.410 | 0.069 | −0.0050 | −0.0025 |
Large/very large | 0.3195 | 0.2542 | 0.2593 | 0.0051 | −0.0602 | 0.146 | 0.498 | ||
Sum | −0.2725 | −0.1374 | |||||||
exp(sum)=rel. risk | 0.7614 | 0.8716 | |||||||
ALL (level 2+level 1) | |||||||||
Overall | |||||||||
Sum | −0.2755 | −0.1398 | |||||||
exp(sum)=rel. risk | 0.7592 | 0.8695 |
ANC, antenatal care; coef., beta coefficient; exp, exponentiated; K-DHS, Kenya Demographic and Health Surveys; rel. risk, relative risk; U5MR, under five mortality rate.