Article Text

Download PDFPDF

How income and food prices influence global dietary intakes by age and sex: evidence from 164 countries
  1. Andrew Muhammad1,
  2. Anna D’Souza2,
  3. Birgit Meade1,
  4. Renata Micha3,
  5. Dariush Mozaffarian3
  1. 1 United States Department of Agriculture, Market and Trade Economics Division, USDA Economic Research Service, Washington, District of Columbia, USA
  2. 2 Marxe School of Public and International Affairs, Baruch College, City University of New York, New York, New York, USA
  3. 3 Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
  1. Correspondence to Dr Andrew Muhammad; amuhammad{at}ers.usda.gov

Abstract

Background While income and prices are key drivers of dietary choices, how their influence varies by food category, nation, and demographics is not well established. Based on intake data for 164 countries and 11 food categories, we examined how income and food prices relate to food intake globally, including by world region, age, and sex.

Methods We used 2010 intake data from the Global Dietary Database, the first database of consumption estimates for major food categories by country, age, and sex. We combined these data with national per capita GDP and food price data. We estimated intake responsiveness to income and prices for each food category, accounting for differences by national income, world region, age, and sex.

Results We identified several differences in intake responsiveness. For example, rising income was estimated to increase milk intake most strongly in Sub-Saharan Africa and fruit intake most strongly among older women globally. Comparing our intake results to previous findings based on expenditure data, we found more goods that exhibited declining intake in response to rising incomes, fewer significant relationships for a number of food categories, particularly for higher income regions, and whereas in prior studies, elasticities mostly decrease with national income, we identified food categories where this was not the case.

Conclusion The results of this study show heterogeneous associations among income, prices, and food intakes. Policymakers should consider the price and income elasticities of certain foods, as well as the role of demographics within and across countries, as they address global nutrition and health challenges.

  • Health Economics
  • Nutrition
  • Health Policy

This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/

Statistics from Altmetric.com

Request Permissions

If you wish to reuse any or all of this article please use the link below which will take you to the Copyright Clearance Center’s RightsLink service. You will be able to get a quick price and instant permission to reuse the content in many different ways.

Footnotes

  • Contributors AM and DM conceptualized the study. AM was responsible for the study design and model estimations, and contributed to the interpretation of results. AD contributed to the interpretation of results and was a primary author, contributing to the results section and discussion. BM was primarily responsible for the literature review and facilitated the data agreement with the International Comparison Program, World Bank. RM wrote and edited sections describing the intake data. DM provided the intake data and contributed to editing previous drafts. DM obtained the funding. AM was the primary author, but all authors contributed to writing the manuscript.

  • Funding The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (project: Global Dietary Habits among Women, Price and Income Elasticities, and Validity of FoodBalance Sheets) and USDA, Economic Research Service cooperative agreement #58-300-4-0030 (project: Food Security, Nutrition and Dietary Patterns).

  • Disclaimer The views expressed are those of the authors, and may not be attributed to the Economic Research Service or the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

  • Competing interests None declared.

  • Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.